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How PSEi member stocks performed — April 20, 2018

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Friday, April 20, 2018.

Market to remain volatile amid overseas tensions

VOLATILITY may prevail in the week ahead, following the Philippine Stock Exchange index’s (PSEi) sharp decline last week due to a mix of geopolitical concerns and fears of an overheating economy. 

The bellwether PSEi ended 0.57% or 44.48 points higher to 7,726.72 last Friday, managing to eke out gains after its steep fall on Thursday. The main index had dropped by more than 3% in that session, but was able to pare down losses before the market’s close. 

On a weekly basis, the index lost 2.19% or 173.26 points. Volume, however, started to pick up, with value turnover rising 43% to P7.52 billion on average. Foreign outflows swelled to P580 million versus the P350 million recorded the week before.

“Negative undertone prevailed during the week and pulled gauges to weaker terrain. The threat for a potential border conflict in Syria following the firing of cruise missiles against Bashar al-Assasd’s regime prompted sellers to panic,” online brokerage 2TradeAsia.com said in a weekly report.

The online brokerage said these dips in the index can provide buying windows for investors.

“Regardless, the global economy moves in cycles and there are pain points to consider in any adjustment process. The reality is that there are people who will prevail in these trying times, versus those who are quick to throw in the towel. This phenomenon explains volatility that presents buying windows,” the company said. 

Eagle Equities, Inc. Research Head Christopher John Mangun gave two possible outcomes for the index this week, with the first scenario placing the market on a consolidation mode within the 7,600 to 7,750 range. On the other hand, the index could also trek lower by 200 points until it reaches a support level at 7,500.

“If this happens, we will see volume or value turnover pick up,” Mr. Mangun said in a weekly market report.

The Eagle Equities analyst, however, flagged concerns of rising oil prices, which have been hitting record high prices since 2014.

“Higher oil prices mean higher inflation, and this may have a negative effect on the market. Small and mid-cap companies still pose better opportunities for investors,” Mr. Mangun said.

2TradeAsia.com also pointed to first-quarter earnings results to guide investors in making decisions on buying stocks.

“Moving further, preliminary indications of first-quarter 2018 performance will serve as proxy guidance, that may convince skeptics whether growth targets will be in line this year,” the online brokerage said.

2TradeAsia.com placed the index’ immediate support between 7,500 to 7,600, while resistance will be from 7,800 to 7,900.

Meanwhile, Wall Street’s three major indexes declined on Friday as investors worried about a jump in US bond yields, with technology stocks leading the decline on nerves about upcoming earnings reports and iPhone demand. — Arra B. Francia with Reuters

US sorghum armada U-turns at sea after China tariffs

CHICAGO — Several ships carrying cargoes of sorghum from the United States to China have changed course since Beijing slapped hefty anti-dumping deposits on US imports of the grain, trade sources and a Reuters analysis of export and shipping data showed.
Sorghum is a niche animal feed and a tiny slice of the billions of dollars in exports at stake in the trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies, which threatens to disrupt the flow of everything from steel to electronics.
The supply-chain pain felt by sorghum suppliers on the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans underscores how quickly the mounting trade tensions between the US and China can impact the global agricultural sector, which has been reeling from low commodity prices amid a global grains glut.
Twenty ships carrying over 1.2 million tons of US sorghum are on the water, according to export inspections data from the USDA’s Federal Grain Inspection Service. Of the armada, valued at more than $216 million, at least five changed course within hours of China’s announcing tariffs on US sorghum imports on Tuesday, Reuters shipping data showed.
The five shipments, all headed for China when they were loaded at Texas Gulf Coast export terminals owned by grain merchants Cargill, Inc. [CARG.UL] or Archer Daniels Midland Co. would be liable for a hefty deposit to be paid on their value, which could make the loads unprofitable to deliver.
Beijing, which is probing US imports for damage to its domestic industry, announced Tuesday that grains handlers would have to put up a deposit of 178.6% of the value of the shipments.
Traders said Cargill and ADM likely sold most of the grain in the cargoes that are on the water, traders said.
In a statement to Reuters on Thursday, Cargill confirmed it is the exporter. The company declined to confirm what is in the ships, the final destinations or the tonnage, nor name the customers. The company also declined to confirm why the ships stopped, or if they are being redirected — but said that it does not have any responsibility for costs that may result.
ADM representatives declined to comment.
The Panamanian-flagged ship called the N Bonanza, was churning its way northeast across the Indian Ocean earlier this week, carrying more than 67,000 tons of sorghum from ADM’s elevator in Corpus Christi, Texas, according to Reuters shipping data.
Eleven hours after the anti-dumping deposits were announced, the ship stopped and then slowly tracked northwest.
The RB Eden, a vessel carrying 70,223 tons of sorghum loaded at the same ADM terminal, was headed east-northeast through the Indian Ocean off the coast of South Africa. It turned around.
Hours later, the Stamford Eagle — hauling sorghum from Cargill’s elevator in Houston — turned around off the western coast of Mexico.
At least two other vessels have also suddenly changed course: the Ocean Belt and Xing Xi Hai, both loaded at Cargill’s terminal.
It is unclear where the vessels are now heading. — Reuters

Why a cashmere sweater can cost $2,000… or $30


A PLAIN, yet meticulously crafted, sweater made of the world’s finest cashmere can cost $2,000 or more from premier fashion labels such as Loro Piana. You can also grab a simple sweater of 100% cashmere off a discount rack at Uniqlo for as little as $29.90.
Made from the softest wool produced by certain breeds of goats, such as the Zalaa Ginst white goat and Tibetan Plateau goat, cashmere was once reserved for the wealthiest fashionistas. (Napoleon Bonaparte’s wife helped popularize the fabric.) But over the past two decades, its cachet skyrocketed and cheaper garments flooded the market.
Nearly $1.4 billion of cashmere garments were exported globally in 2016, up from $1.2 billion in 2010, according to United Nations trade data. That’s nearly 5 million kilograms worth of pullovers, cardigans, and other tops. Now it’s seemingly everywhere, at every price point. Ubiquity can spell trouble for a product as it becomes more of a commodity, especially one that’s been historically marketed as a luxury item.
So what makes one sweater better than another? The price depends on the quality of the yarn, where the garment was manufactured, the number of units purchased by the brand, and the markup.
The quality of the raw material often matters most. Lengthier cashmere fibers maintain their integrity for a longer time, allowing garments to retain their structure. Pilling — the small balls that form on the fabric as it chafes — is more common in garments made of shorter cashmere strands. These days, manufacturers frequently make the clothes out of a mix of lengths to balance quality with cost.
The thickness of the yarn used for the fabric determines its durability. So-called single-ply yarn is the weakest and can quickly lead to holes in a favorite sweater. Higher-quality cashmere pieces are typically two or three strands thick.
Finer and smoother individual strands create softer garments, but they are rare and thus, cost more. American consumers value this softness above all else.
“The customer cares more about the hand-feel than they care about the durability or the color saturation,” said Matt Scanlan, chief executive officer of sustainable cashmere label Naadam. “They don’t even care if it starts to pill. We’ve just become used to it.”
Cashmere goats are bred in various locations around the world, including Australia, China, and Mongolia, but Scotland and Italy are known for cashmere-manufacturing prowess. Luxury fashion houses such as Loro Piana and Brunello Cuccinelli depend on the expertise of their workers to wash, treat, and refine the fabric. Cashmere, for instance, repels a lot of dye. Italy, however, has developed ways to achieve strong saturation.
Not every manufacturer takes such care. Blended versions of cashmere sweaters, available at most retailers these days, can contain varying quantities of the fabric. In some cases, as little as 5% of a garment is made from the good stuff, with the rest a combination of mass-market fabrics such as polyester or nylon. The product is still marketed as a “cashmere-blend.”
Occasionally, even fake cashmere makes it to store shelves. “There is certainly fraud on this front,” says Frances Kozen, a director at the Cornell Institute of Fashion and Fiber Innovation. Deceitful sellers and counterfeiters sometimes create cashmere blends labeled 100% cashmere that contain wool, viscose rayon, and acrylic — and possibly even rat fur, she says.
The lower-quality blends, occasional outright fraud, and ubiquity has diluted cashmere’s luxe reputation, and shoppers have slowly gotten used to lower-quality product.
The industry is attempting to rehabilitate the fabric’s reputation by educating consumers as to where cashmere comes from. Naadam, Scanlan’s cashmere label, assures customers that it uses only the longest fibers, promising that this will make the garments last longer. The label touts its sustainable grazing practices and lack of chemicals or bleaches. Sweaters from Naadam aren’t cheap, going for $125 to $225, so the brand must show shoppers why it’s worth their cash.
“Cashmere still has a lot of meaning for people, even though a lot of brands have bastardized what a lot of words mean,” says Shilpa Shah, cofounder of clothing and accessories label Cuyana. The brand’s cashmere sweaters are manufactured in Scotland and Italy and cost from $155 to $495. They don’t match up to the quality of what you’ll find from designers at a much higher price, but Shah insists they get close.
As for the lesser-quality cashmere being sold, Shah has an optimistic view: At least shoppers are trying some kind of cashmere and may seek out better versions. “In some sense, I should be thanking them,” Shah says of the cheap cashmere sellers, “because it’s an introduction to what the material could be.” — Bloomberg

How much have wages increased across regions?

DoTr studying Cavite province proposal for Sangley airport

THE Department of Transportation (DoTr) said it is considering a proposal by the Cavite provincial government to develop an airport in Sangley Point.
Undersecretary Ruben S Reinoso, Jr said that the agency is considering the Cavite proposal, adding that by considering the new proposal an earlier proposal by the Sangley Airport Infrastructure Group, Inc. (SAIG) is not deemed rejected, contrary to reports, as the department still has the option to consider its proposal if the Cavite proposal is rejected.
It was earlier reported that the DoTr had rejected the SAIG proposal, a consortium run by Solar Group’s Wilson Y. Tieng and the SM group’s Henry T. Sy, Sr. “We rejected the unsolicited proposal for Sangley Airport since government is considering the (Cavite proposal)… to develop the Sangley Airport as a government undertaking (by the province of Cavite) in collaboration with the Philippine Reclamation Authority (PRA), Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines (CAAP) and DoTr,” Mr. Reinoso said in a message.
DoTr Secretary Arthur P. Tugade said in February the department had received a proposal for Sangley airport development from the Remulla political family of Cavite. Mr. Reinoso said that the latest version of the proposal is structured as a government undertaking led by PRA, CAAP, and the DoTr, as well as the province of Cavite.
SAIG is fronted by the All-Asia Resources and Reclamation, Corp. (ARRC) of Solar Group and the Sy family’s Belle Corp. Last month it submitted a $12-billion proposal for the Philippine Sangley International Airport (PSIA). It involves a 50-year concession and the reclamation of about 2,500 hectares of land north of the Sangley peninsula, which juts out into Manila Bay south of Metro Manila.
“Since the Provincial Government’s proposal and the Solar Group unsolicited proposal are not mutually exclusive, therefore, once the Provincial Government proposal is implemented, the Solar Group’s unsolicited proposal can no longer be implemented,” Mr. Reinoso said in a message, but did not disclose any details about the Cavite government’s proposal.
He said, however, that the approval of any proposal is contingent on the “timely submission” of additional requirements as well as clarification on the implementing arrangements (IAs) for the involvement of government agencies.
“If the documents and clarifications required are not submitted, DoTr may consider the unsolicited proposal of (SAIG); thus, DoTr is not absolutely rejecting the unsolicited proposal but is contingent on the final approval of the Provincial Government’s proposal.”
Sangley airport is being positioned as another gateway option for the national capital. The government has yet to evaluate the two proposals for the rehabilitation of the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA).The consortium of conglomerates Aboitiz Infra Capital, Inc., AC Infrastructure Holdings Corp., Alliance Global Group, Inc., AEDC, Filinvest Development Corp., JG Summit Holdings, Inc. and Metro Pacific Investments Corp., first submitted to the government on Feb. 13 a P350-billion proposal with a concession of 35 years, while the consortium of Megawide Construction Corp and GMR Infrastructure Ltd. weeks later submitted a different rehabilitation proposal worth $3 billion.
A gateway proposal that is moving forward is San Miguel Corp.’s Bulacan International Airport proposal which is currently under review by the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Board.
The government is also expanding Clark International Airport (CIA), with operations and maintenance (O&M) contracts set to be bid out within the year. — Patrizia Paola C. Marcelo

Uber, Grab file explanation for Uber app closure

THE Philippine Competition Commission (PCC) said it has received both Grab Holdings, Inc.’s and Uber Systems, Inc.’s explanations for allegedly breaching one of its interim measures, while the regulator awaits the companies’ compliance report today which will be taken into account when it makes a ruling.
PCC Commissioner Johannes Benjamin R. Bernabe said both ride-hailing companies submitted before the April 17 deadline their explanations for their failure to comply with the PCC’s order that they keep the Uber app running pending the completion of the merger review.
“The primary reason really is they were also constrained to comply with the LTFRB [Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board],” Mr. Bernabe said in a phone interview.
Uber advised its passengers last week of the termination of its operations in the country while endorsing the Grab app. Its action resulted from LTFRB’s directive that Uber cease operating as a Transport Network Company (TNC) by April 16.
In response, both Grab and Uber appealed that the LTFRB align its interim measures with that of the regulatory body.
“The parties are also asking for reconsideration of some of the interim measures because it will be difficult for them to comply given that they are already in the process of integrating,” Mr. Bernabe said.
“How compliance can be achieved with that, that’s what we are going to look at separately once we have the compliance report,” the official added.
Asked when the PCC will issue a decision on penalties due to the violation of the interim order, Mr. Bernabe said: “We will have to await their report on their compliance.”
The compliance report explains how the respondents plan to abide by the interim measures.
The interim measures imposed by the PCC include requiring both ride-hailing apps to operate independently pending the conclusion of the PCC review; refraining from sharing confidential information; and refraining from imposing exclusivity clauses, lock-in periods or termination fees on Uber drivers seeking to join Grab.
The PCC also directed Grab and Uber to take no further steps that will reduce viability and saleability of either company and from taking any actions that will prejudice the review.
If found non-compliant, both firms may be fined between P50,000 and P2 million daily for each interim measure violated until the review concludes. — Janina C. Lim

ECCP calls for greater effort to comply with EU privacy regulation

THE European Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines (ECCP) has advised domestic companies to work closely together with European Union (EU) firms to achieve compliance as the bloc implements its General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).
“There must be a close coordination between Philippine companies and the European companies they deal with on the other hand to make sure that business transactions will not be disrupted because of this new development on data protection,” ECCP President Guenter Taus said in a text message over the weekend.
Philippine businesses that service EU-based companies or process information of citizens from the EU will have to adjust to the GDPR, he said.
The regulation will take effect May 25 and impose significant sanctions on violators of up to 4 million euros or 4% of a company’s global turnover.
Among the sectors that may be affected are the business process outsourcing industry which processes information of customers across the gobe.
The Contact Center Association of the Philippines, the umbrella organization of call centers in the country, said it has been undertaking preparations as the regulation takes effect.
The law requires businesses to appoint experts to handle EU-based client data to prevent any mishandling of information that may be confidential.
The National Privacy Commission has expressed confidence that the Philippine Data Privacy Act of 2012 will meet the GDPR data protection standards.
The country was the first in Southeast Asia to adopt a set of data privacy rules, mainly, in response to the rise of digital e-commerce and trade. — Janina C. Lim

DoE submits nuclear policy recommendation

THE Department of Energy (DoE) said it submitted to the President last week its recommendation on the national policy on nuclear energy, which will detail how the country should proceed with the Bataan nuclear power plant.
“I submitted it to the President. I submitted the papers, the policy direction and the national policy proposal,” DoE Secretary Alfonso G. Cusi told reporters, adding that the submission of the formal transmission letter was done last week.
Asked whether the President has acted on the DoE’s recommendation, he said no action has been taken.
“If the President approves that, I will move forward to the next step and that is procurement,” Mr. Cusi said, adding that a “modular [nuclear reactor] is available.”
He said the objective of coming up with a national nuclear policy is not just to answer whether the Bataan nuclear plant should be rehabilitated but “to find final closure” on the facility because it sits on a 300-hectare site.
“So we have to do something about it,” he said.
But he said doing so would require a process, since he cannot declare the abandonment of the nuclear plant on his authority as Energy secretary.
He said the nuclear policy answers whether nuclear energy is going to be an option for the country, especially since “there are provinces already that are available [and] ready to take nuclear as a power source.”
“So in the absence of a national policy, I can’t just say, let’s put the nuclear plant there,” he said. “We’re processing it as an alternative power source,” he added.
Asked about the provinces that are willing to take a modular facility, Mr. Cusi cited Sulu, a southern province and part of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao. He dismissed concerns about security, saying a modular reactor “is very low grade” and cannot be used for military purposes. — Victor V. Saulon

Gov’t budget utilization rises to 98% in 1st quarter

NATIONAL GOVERNMENT agencies used 98% of their budget allocations in the first quarter, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) said.
The utilization rate tops the year-earlier rate of 93%.
Utilization rates are based on the Notice of Cash Allocation (NCA) — a quarterly disbursement authority issued by the DBM to government agencies, allowing them to withdraw funds from the Bureau of the Treasury to pay for contracted projects.
A total of P606.33 billion was spent by government offices during the period out of the P618.23 billion the DBM authorized them to disburse, leaving a balance of P11.90 billion.
In the first quarter of 2017 agencies spent P453.52 billion out of P485.72 billion released, with P32.20 billion left unutilized.
Ten out of the 36 agencies recorded a 100% utilization rate — the Departments of Agriculture, Energy, Foreign Affairs, Interior and Local Government, Public Works and Highways, Trade and Industry, as well as the Judiciary, Commission on Elections, Office of the Ombudsman, and the Commission on Human Rights.
A year earlier four government offices had full utilization over the same period.
Nine agencies also approached 100% the Office of the Vice-President, the departments of Agrarian Reform, Education, Information and Communication Technology, Justice, National Defense, and Science and Technology; State Universities and Colleges, the Civil Service Commission, and the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
Special Purpose Funds such as Budgetary Support to Government Owned and Controlled Corporations, Allotment to Local Government Units were likewise fully utilized.
The DBM, however, recorded the lowest utilization ratio at 77% during the period.
The Budget department has said that improved government spending was attributable to its shift to a cash-based appropriation scheme beginning 2017, which limits all payments for contractual obligations within a fiscal year — compared to an obligation-based appropriation previously that allows payments to extend by over two years after a given fiscal year.
The government has a P3.767-trillion budget this year, with 84% or P3.165 trillion released as of the first quarter, leaving a balance of P601.67 billion. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

Senate to resume hearings on disappearing prepaid ‘load’

THE Senate on Monday will resume its inquiry into unauthorized deductions from mobile prepaid balances, or incidents of so-called “nakaw load.”
Senator Paolo Benigno A. Aquino IV, chair of the Senate committee on science and technology, said telecommunication companies are expected to provide updates into their efforts to address complaints regarding third-party value-added services (VAS) providers automatically enrolling consumers and deducting from their balances without consent.
“It has been more than a month (since the first hearing) so we are expecting they fulfill these resolutions,” he said in a statement.
At the previous hearing, an internet group proposed a notification system for mobile subscribers for transactions that propose to deduct from their balances.
Mr. Aquino said the proposal would allow subscribers to monitor their load spending and cancel services they do not wish to avail of.
While officials from Smart Communications, Inc. and Globe Telecom, Inc. were open to the proposal, they have yet to commit on adopting it in their services.
“Yes, we agree to it. In fact, we are already implementing that particular requirement with respect to value-added services,” PLDT-Smart Public Affairs Head Ramon R. Isberto earlier told reporters.
“We’ll take that into serious consideration. But just the same, we also have ways of notifying our customers of their current prepaid load,” Globe General Counsel Froilan M. Castelo said at the previous hearing.
Mr. Aquino also reiterated his call to telecommunication companies to conduct a complete audit of all their VAS and impose more transparent procedures for services that users pay for to avert incidents of missing load. — Camille A. Aguinaldo

Gov’t borrowing falls over 17% in February

GOVERNMENT borrowing was P108.87 billion in February, down 17.67% year on year, after the reduced issue of Treasury bonds (T-bonds) and a net repayment of Treasury bills (T-bills), the Bureau of the Treasury said.
Compared with January, however, borrowing was sharply higher compared with the P47.66 billion in the first month of the year.
The decline in overall borrowing was due to P1.47 billion worth of net redemptions of debt owed to domestic creditors, reversing the P31.66 billion in net borrowing from a year earlier.
This was mainly due to the P10.32 billion in net repayments of T-bills from a P1.66 billion net borrowing position a year earlier, and supported by lower issues of T-bonds worth P8.85 billion, down from P30 billion a year earlier.
Foreign borrowing grew 9.71% to P110.34 billion.
Project and program loans from overseas amounted to P1.33 billion and P6.33 billion in February, while the global bonds exchange yielded P102.68 billion.
This compares to the year-earlier totals of P1 billion for project loans, zero for program loans, and P99.57 billion for global bonds exchange.
In the first two months, borrowing was P156.53 billion, down 8.89% from a year earlier.
Borrowing in the first two months is equivalent to 17.62% of the P888.23 billion the government expects to borrow this year.
Borrowed funds help pay for government projects and maturing debt, among others. The government plans to drastically raise spending, particularly on infrastructure. The budget deficit is pegged at 3% of gross domestic product (GDP).
This year, the government has adopted a 74-26% financing mix in favor of local sources at P711.96 billion, with a P176.27-billion projection for gross foreign borrowing. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan