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How PSEi member stocks performed — October 3, 2017

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Tuesday, October 3, 2017.

DA to maintain policy regulating corn sweetener imports

THE Department of Agriculture (DA) said it will continue to regulate the importation of High-Fructose Corn Syrup (HFCS), which is favored by the food industry and has depressed sugar prices.

“Sugar Order No. 3 is here to stay,” Agriculture Secretary Emmanuel F. Piñol said in a statement, referring to an order issued by the Sugar Regulatory Administration (SRA), which claims the authority to regulate HFCS as part of its mandate to promote the development of the sugar industry.

Mr. Piñol said he and newly-installed SRA head Hermenegildo R. Serafica will work together to ensure the sugar industry’s interests are looked after.

The sugar industry has expressed concern that Sugar Order No. 3 will be canceled, after Mr. Piñol announced plans to put the policy on hold pending consultations with HFCS users, including Coca-cola FEMSA Philippines, Inc.

Sugar Order No.3, signed in February, sets the guidelines for the release of imported HFCS and chemically pure fructose.

The SRA has said an estimated 373,000 tons of the sweetener entered the country last year, up 58.72%. — Janina C. Lim

Nation at a Glance — (10/04/17)

News stories from across the nation. Visit www.bworldonline.com (section: The Nation) to read more national and regional news from the Philippines.

The changing face of Philippine trade

History walk

Women wearing traditional Korean hanbok dress walk through Gyeongbokgung palace in Seoul on October 3, 2017.

Q3 ends with ‘subdued’ factory growth

By Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan
Reporter

THE PHILIPPINES last month managed to land second place in Southeast Asia behind Vietnam in terms of growth of manufacturing activity, but the improvement was its second weakest since its inclusion in January last year in the survey IHS Markit conducts for Nikkei, Inc.

Q3 ends with ‘subdued’ factory growth

The seasonally adjusted Nikkei Philippines Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) picked up to 50.8 in September from August’s record-low 50.6, ending the quarter on a “subdued” note.

“Subdued growth of the Philippines manufacturing economy persisted at the end of the third quarter, as output expansion slowed further,” the report read.

“Order book gains continued to underwhelm relative to the historical trend — even as exports returned to growth — which weighed on hiring.”

The manufacturing PMI consists of five sub-indices, with new orders having the biggest weight at 30%, followed by output (25%), employment (20%), suppliers’ delivery times (15%) and stocks of purchases (10%).

Readings above 50 denote expansion while those below that mark point to contraction.

Compared to its peers in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the Philippines jumped over Indonesia and Singapore to land second as the performance of those other two countries worsened from August. Indonesia and Singapore saw their readings slip to 50.4 and 48.6, respectively, from 50.7 and 51.0 in the past two months.

The headline Nikkei ASEAN Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index itself eased to 50.3 in September from August’s 50.4.

“The Philippines’ manufacturing economy ended the third quarter on a weak note, with the PMI signalling a second consecutive month of subdued growth,” the report quoted IHS Markit Principal Economist Bernard Aw as saying.

“The survey data pointed to further slowing in output growth and a modest sales trend while employment shrank again as firms indicated sufficient manpower to meet production demand,” he added.

“Despite the decrease in payroll numbers, capacity continues to be in abundance, which would weigh on hiring in the near future.”

The report noted that “September data showed that output volumes rose at the weakest rate since the survey started in January 2016,” blaming “a softening sales trend,” reduced overtime work, input shortages and rising cost of raw materials.

After declining in August, export orders increased last month even as “the degree of expansion was the mildest since the survey started in January last year.”

“The weak peso continued to pose a problem for manufacturers,” Mr. Aw added, referring to the peso’s persistent weakness against the greenback.

The local currency has depreciated 2.7% year-to-date to P51.08 to the dollar as of yesterday, surpassing the P48- to P50-to-the-dollar rate state economic managers have assumed for 2017.

“Not only did the cheaper currency fail to provide a boost to exports, it raised the cost of imports,” the report read.

“Coupled with supply shortages due to bad weather, costs for manufacturing inputs, especially in industrial metal and paper, increased further. There were also reports of rising cost inflation affecting production levels.”

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) on Friday last week estimated that inflation likely clocked 2.8-3.6% in September from August’s 3.1%, while BusinessWorld’s poll of 13 economists yielded a 3.2% median.

Production input costs rose at their fastest pace in five months, the report read.

Guian Angelo S. Dumalagan, Land Bank of the Philippines market economist, noted that “[o]ne thing surprising about the report though is that exports provided minimal boost to the overall manufacturing sector, despite depreciation of the peso and the general improvement in economic conditions abroad.”

“In part, this might be attributed to the fact that many of our exports are just re-shipments of imported products, which have become more expensive in local currency terms due to the peso’s weakening,” he said in an e-mail yesterday.

Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion, chief economist at Union Bank of the Philippines, said in an e-mail that the Philippine index’s “increase, though marginal, may signal an eventual recovery comparable to growth in 2016 with increasing domestic demand due to the fast approaching holiday season.”

“I still expect Philippine manufacturing to grow in 2017, especially as more and more investments are anticipated from the government’s thrust of increasing infrastructure spending plus the impact of further tax reform when corporate taxes are eventually adjusted to be comparable regionally,” added Mr. Asuncion.

Survey data showed that a majority of respondents expected production to increase in the next 12 months on the back of new product launches, an improving economic climate, marketing activity and business expansion.

“[O]ptimism regarding output remained high, encouraging firms to increase purchases of inputs,” Mr. Aw said.

Gov’t wants to open retail trade further

THE GOVERNMENT is moving to open up the country’s retail sector further to foreign brands by reducing the paid-up capital threshold for enterprises to be reserved exclusively for Filipinos.

Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia told reporters yesterday that economic managers are looking to reduce the paid-up capital threshold to just $200,000 from the prevailing $2.5 million under Republic Act No. 8762, or the Retail Trade Liberalization Act of 2000.

Rule III Section 1 of RA 8762 provides that “[e]nterprises with paid-up capital of the equivalent in Philippine pesos of less than US$2,500,000 shall be reserved exclusively for Filipino citizens and corporations wholly owned by Filipino citizens.”

“We’ll make them more competitive and they will be forced to be internationally competitive. The purpose is to make consumers happier,” Mr. Pernia told reporters on the sidelines of an event in Mandaluyong City.

“It used to be $2.5 million. We are using $200,000.”

Sought for comment, European Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines (ECCP) President Guenter Taus replied in an e-mail: “ECCP feels very positive about the potential reduction of the paid-in capital requirement for the entry of foreign retailers in the Philippines.”

“Let us not forget that this requirement is one of the major causes of the low level of foreign direct investments in the country,” Mr. Taus said.

“If the paid-in capital requirement is eliminated or reduced, the competitiveness of the Philippines will surely increase, thus favouring foreign investments,” he added.

“It goes without saying that the elimination of barriers to market access for foreign retailers will have a positive spill-over effect on the economy, stimulating economic growth, creating more jobs, increasing competition, providing Filipino consumers with better choices and higher quality goods at lower prices.”

John D. Forbes, senior adviser of the American Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines, noted separately that “[t]he limit in the 2000 law was set too high and has resulted in few investments over 17 years.”

“It makes sense to reduce to the same minimum capital requirement of other domestic enterprises in the Foreign Investment Act (of 1991, or RA 7042),” Mr. Forbes said in a mobile phone message.

The government is also reviewing the draft 11th Foreign Investment Negative List to free up industries for foreign ownership without having to go through time-consuming legislation.

Mr. Pernia said the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Board — chaired by President Rodrigo R. Duterte — will review the FINL “[h]opefully in our next NEDA Board meeting.”

“We haven’t yet set a date, but there would definitely be one before the end of the year,” said Mr. Pernia, who had earlier cited professions, public utilities and foreign contracting for government projects as other fields to be opened to foreign participation. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

Not resting on his laurels

The Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines 2017 has concluded its search for the country’s most inspiring entrepreneurs. Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines is a program of the SGV Foundation, Inc., with the participation of co-presenters Department of Trade and Industry, the Philippine Business for Social Progress, and the Philippine Stock Exchange. In the next few weeks, BusinessWorld will feature each finalist for the Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines 2017.

The Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines 2017

Dr. Peter Laurel
President
Lyceum of the Philippines
University — Laguna and Batangas Campus

LYCEUM of the Philippines University (LPU) has always been committed to providing quality education and developing leaders, lifelong learners and globally competitive professionals.

Dr. Peter Laurel, 60, has continued this vision. From a small provincial school, LPU has become the first private, non-sectarian, autonomous university in the country.

Mr. Laurel was asked by his family to help out with LPU, the school founded by his grandfather, former Philippine President Jose P. Laurel, in Intramuros, Manila.

After the success of the Manila campus, his father set up the Batangas branch in 1966, followed by the Laguna campus in 2000 and Cavite campus in 2008. Mr. Laurel presently runs the Batangas and Laguna campuses.

“The vision that has been propelling all of us is that you don’t need to go to Manila to get a good education,“ he explains.

“So right where you are — like Batangas and Laguna — you can have an education that is as good as, if not better, than what you can get from many of the Manila schools.”

Mr. Laurel states that his grandfather was very focused on nationalism.

“There’s a saying here ‘No one can love the Filipino more than Filipinos themselves’,” he said.

As a distinct part of the curriculum, LPU runs courses on Jose P. Laurel’s teachings, including values and philosophy.

According to Mr. Laurel, the people of LPU is one their biggest strengths.

They focus on training and mentorship to put their people in the position to succeed.

Most of the members of the LPU Management Committee are homegrown and they are the ones who are most dedicated to the growth of the universities.

“The spirit of oneness is the moving force behind our success,” he explains.

LPU follows a system of meritocracy.

As a general rule, even family members have to meet certain requirements, such as graduate degrees, before they are allowed to join the business. This helps them professionalize the school and maintain a high level of competence and quality in its management team.

Innovation is one of the factors that drives LPU’s strategic direction.

FOCUS ON RELEVANCE
Mr. Laurel says that all program offerings should be relevant and responsive to the needs of future students.

Three years ago, his team set up a high school in preparation for the K-12 program and established a culinary institute and offer several TESDA courses.

LPU not only provides regular academic offerings, but also education for maritime professionals, lifestyle and short courses, as well as English language proficiency training for foreign students.

LPU will be opening a College of Medicine and College of Optometry, the first in Batangas.

LPU also houses the College of Allied Medical Professions, College of Business Administration, College of Computer Studies, College Of Criminal Justice, College of Dentistry, College of Education, Arts and Sciences, College of Engineering, College of International Tourism and Hospitality Management, and the College of Nursing.

LPU’s next objective is to internationalize the school and be recognized in the Asia-Pacific region.

LPU is the first Private Non-Sectarian University to achieve a QS (rating system) three-star rating.

Mr. Laurel also initiated LPU’s internationalization by forging partnerships with academic institutions and companies worldwide. An example of this is its hospitality school, which is co-operated with the Dusit Thani Group.

Online classes is the next challenge LPU will take on.

“We expect that, over time, there will be less people in our classrooms,” expresses Dr. Laurel.

“So right now we’re developing our management systems. In the next three years 30-50% of the courses must be online through the Learning Management System platform.”

EXPANSION
For the next few years, LPU will be focusing on expansion. It plans to open campuses in the Clark Freeport and Special Economic Zone and in Davao City.

Mr. Laurel also spoke of other Bayleaf Hotels, run by LPU, in Batangas, Davao and Laguna, to complement its hospitality and tourism programs.

The Commission on Higher Education has awarded LPU Batangas the Center of Excellence for Hotel and Restaurant Management, Tourism and Medical Technology and Center of Development for Business Administration and Information Technology.

It is the first university in the Philippines to be granted full international accreditation for Hotel and Restaurant Management and Tourism by the International Centre of Excellence in Tourism and Hospitality Education.

It was also the first university in Asia to be certified Gold by the Investors in People, a British international standard for human resource training and development.

Mr. Laurel, a recipient of a Go Negosyo award, believes that persistence is what got Lyceum of the Philippines University to where it is today.

“Success is in the small steps one takes every day,” he tells aspiring entrepreneurs, “not the giant leap.”

“I think perseverance in taking those small steps is what counts in the long run.”

The official airline of the Entrepreneur of the Year Philippines 2017 is Philippine Airlines. Media sponsors are BusinessWorld and the ABS-CBN News Channel. Banquet sponsors are Bench; Bounty Fresh Food, Inc.; CDO Foodsphere; Fiori Di Marghi; Global Ferronickel Holdings, Inc.; Hyundai Asia Resources, Inc.; Intermed Marketing Phils., Inc.; Jollibee Foods Corp.; LBC; SteelAsia and Universal Harvester, Inc.

The winners of the Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines 2017 will be announced in an Oct. 18 awards banquet at the Makati Shangri-La Hotel. The Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines will represent the country in the World Entrepreneur Of The Year 2018 in Monte Carlo, Monaco in June 2018. The Entrepreneur Of The Year program is produced globally by Ernst & Young.

 

ERRATUM
In the Sept. 29 The Entrepreneur Of The Year Philippines 2017 article, titled: “Pushing boundaries,” HCS Management Corp. President and Chief Executive Officer Charles Streegan’s furniture company should have been identified as Pacific Traders & Manufacturing Corp., which is under HCS, a holding company. The article may be found at http://www.bworldonline.com/pushing-boundaries/.

UnionBank to issue $1B under MTN program

By Melissa Luz T. Lopez, Senior Reporter

UNIONBANK of the Philippines, Inc. (UnionBank) will soon foray into the global market by issuing foreign currency debt papers, as part of its fresh fund-raising exercise to support the bank’s debt management and lending activities.

In a disclosure, the listed lender announced that it will be issuing as much as $1 billion under a euro medium-term note (MTN) program.

A medium-term debt program stands as a flexible facility for corporates to issue notes in the foreign currency in the global capital markets, allowing them to tap a bigger avenue for their fund-raising activities. These debt papers are offered on a continuing basis until such a time when the ceiling amount is reached.

A euro MTN means the borrowings will be issued abroad except in the United States and Canada, and may be offered in a wide range of currencies apart from the greenback.

Apart from this offering, UnionBank will raise another P20 billion by offering long-term negotiable certificates of deposit (LTNCDs) locally.

These debt instruments are similar to regular time deposits which offer higher interest rates, but the difference is that these cannot be pre-terminated. Being “negotiable” means that these can be traded at the secondary market prior to maturity date.

UnionBank President and Chief Operating Officer Edwin R. Bautista said the new borrowing platforms would beef up the bank’s portfolio that will allow them to hand out bigger loans, particularly to finance big-ticket infrastructure projects.

“We have one year to issue the LTNCD. Proceeds will help lengthen our funding maturity profile and allow us to meet our customers need for longer tenor loans,” Mr. Bautista said in a text message.

“This will allow us to extend more term loans to clients with infrastructure projects.”

Earlier this year, Mr. Bautista bared plans to put up a foreign currency-denominated investment product through its new partnership with the Swiss-owned wealth and asset manager Lombard Odier.

The Aboitiz-led lender reported a P2.15-billion net income during the second quarter, which was 6.85% lower than the P2.31 billion recorded a year ago and from the P2.21 billion seen during the first three months of the year.

Earnings totalled P4.4 billion during the first six months, which jumped by 11% from the P3.9 billion booked during the same year-ago period amid steady increases in the bank’s core businesses.

Total assets held by the bank stood at P553 billion as of end-June, the bank previously reported. Total loans reached P265 billion, while deposits also climbed to P434 billion.

UnionBank shares closed at P86.55 each yesterday, down 10 centavos or 0.12% from P86.65 apiece on Friday.

Philippines AirAsia pushes IPO back to mid-2018

By Patrizia Paola C. Marcelo

ILOILO CITY — Philippines AirAsia, Inc. is looking to conduct its initial public offering (IPO) by mid-2018.

“BDO’s working on it, hopefully by the middle of next year, we’ll be able to get it,” Philippines AirAsia Chief Executive Officer Dexter M. Comendador told reporters on Sunday, referring to BDO Capital and Investments Corp. which has been tapped as underwriter for the deal.

Mr. Comendador said the company expects to raise up to $250 million from the public offering, which will be used mainly to expand its facilities.

“We need hangars, we need a new office building,” he said, adding the new office of Philippines AirAsia would be located most likely in Clark, Pampanga.

AirAsia Group Chief Executive Officer Tony Fernandes earlier said the planned IPO of the Philippine and Indonesian units is part of a plan to consolidate its Southeast Asian units under one listed holding company.

“Our first step is to list Philippines and Indonesia for my One AirAsia plan, where we have all the AirAsia units go public. Malaysia and Thailand are public. Not sure which one will come first, Philippines or Indonesia, but both are going to go public very soon,” Mr. Fernandes  said at the sidelines of the International Paris Air Show in June.

Under the One AirAsia plan, Mr. Fernandes said he wants to form an ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) community airline by combining its units in Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines and Indonesia under a single holding company. The move is expected to yield economies of scale and help AirAsia establish a dominant position in markets where it operates.

NEW FLIGHTS
On Sunday, AirAsia launched the maiden flight of its Manila-Iloilo route. The low-cost carrier will service the route with three flights daily using its fleet of Airbus A320s that can accommodate up to 180 passengers.

At the same time, AirAsia is also planning to launch new flights from Manila to Indonesia in the first quarter of 2018.

Mr. Comendador told reporters AirAsia will launch direct flights from Manila to Bali and Jakarta by January and February.

The budget carrier will also mount direct flights from Manila to Ho Chi Minh City in Vietnam starting November.

In May, the AirAsia Group reported that the Philippine unit posted an operating profit of P400 million in the first quarter of 2017, attributed to a rise in passenger count by 19% and surge in revenues by 41%.

ALI asks SC to reverse ruling on Las Piñas property

AYALA LAND Inc. (ALI) has asked the Supreme Court (SC) to reconsider its decision nullifying the property giant’s ownership of around 46 hectares of land in Las Piñas City.

In a disclosure to the stock exchange on Monday, ALI said it filed its motion for reconsideration with the SC on Sept. 28.

The SC had granted rightful ownership of the land, located inside Ayala Southvale Subdivision, to petitioners Yu Hwa Ping and Mary Gaw, as well as the heirs of Andres Diaz and Josefa Mia.

The High Court noted irregularities in the process of land registration, citing that the land surveys used for its registration less than 90 years ago were invalid and should in turn be nullified in order to protect the public and the Torrens system.

However, ALI said before it acquired the property in 1998, it had conducted an investigation of the titles.

“(ALI) had no notice of any title or claim that was superior to the titles purchased by ALI. ALI believes its titles are superior to the claims of these adverse claimants,” it noted.

ALI said its motion for reconsideration stressed that its Original Certificates of Titles (OCTs) can be traced back prior to the OCTs of the claimants’ title, specifically in 1950 and 1958, as opposed to the OCTs of claimants which were issued in 1970.

The property developer also noted that predecessors of claimants had initially opposed ALI’s application for the original land registration, but then lost in favor of ALI’s predecessors.

ALI added that its purchase of the properties were made after an examination of its derivative titles, “thereby making ALI an innocent purchaser for value.” 

The disputed land forms part of the company’s total land bank of 9,852 hectares. With the property making up less than 1% of this figure, ALI said the procedures will not have any material effect on its business, operations, and financial conditions. 

ALI booked an 18% increase in its net income for the January to June period to P9.7 billion. The company enjoyed solid sales reports from its residential brands for the period, contributing to an 18% rise in consolidated revenues to P64.5 billion.

Shares in ALI dropped 10 centavos or 0.23% to P43.40 each at the Philippine Stock Exchange on Monday. — Arra B. Francia

Fed eyes rates as asset-price tool in subtle strategy shift

FEDERAL RESERVE policy makers are embarking on a subtle shift in strategy with potentially big implications for investors: using interest rates as a tool to contain the knock-on effects of lofty stock and asset prices on financial stability and the economy.

The sharpened focus on asset values evident in Fed officials’ public and private remarks suggests the central bank will be more inclined to raise interest rates than otherwise, even if inflation is low. It also means that financial markets can no longer expect – in the words of Allianz SE chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian – the Fed to be their BFF, or best friend forever, providing them with unstinting support.

“The financial stability argument for tightening is getting more weight,” said Jonathan Wright, an economics professor at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore and a former Fed economist.

Led by former chairman Alan Greenspan, central bankers had long argued that they were ill-equipped to spot bubbles in the making and the best approach to tackling them was to let them burst and clean up the mess afterwards. But behind the latest shift is a recognition by officials that the last two recessions were at least partly prompted by declines in markets that had gotten too frothy – technology stock prices in 2001 and housing in 2007.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen hinted at the change last week in laying out her argument for further, gradual interest-rate increases.

Not only does “persistently easy monetary policy” raise the risk of an overheated economy, it “might also eventually lead to increased leverage and other developments, with adverse implications for financial stability,” she said in a speech in Cleveland.

Fed research has shown that such buildups in leverage often occur when risk-taking in markets is elevated – as central bank staffers deem is the case now.

New York Fed President William Dudley, a close ally of Yellen’s, has been more explicit in tying policy to market developments, though his focus has been on their impact on the economy, not financial stability.

Even with three rate hikes since December, stock prices have risen by more than 10% and the dollar has fallen by about 8%, contributing to an easing in financial conditions that’s helped spur growth. Dudley has repeatedly argued that strengthens the case for pressing ahead with rate increases to keep the economy in balance.

Policy makers have penciled in one more rate hike for 2017 and three more for 2018, according to the median projection in forecasts released last month.

There are dangers to the Fed’s approach. With inflation at 1.4% in August, continuing to raise rates would risk cementing expectations that price gains will stay permanently below the central bank’s 2% target.

Officials generally agree that the first line of defense against financial instability is so-called macro-prudential tools, such as changes in bank capital requirements or warnings to lenders about risky practices. Monetary policy is to be kept in reserve, only used to, in economists’ parlance, “lean against the wind” to avert imbalances when other measures haven’t worked.

EXCESS CREDIT
With only four rate hikes in the past 22 months, the Fed is far from leaning against the wind with a tight monetary stance. Instead, as flagged by Yellen, it risks fanning excess credit creation by keeping policy easy.

Together with a taut labor market, some policy makers see that as a reason to return policy to a neutral setting that neither spurs nor inhibits economic growth. Yellen has suggested that such a stance would be consistent with a federal funds rate around 2%, above the bank’s current 1% to 1.25% target range.

“Elevated stock prices contribute to easy financial conditions and as such may accelerate the convergence of the funds rate to neutral, but won’t push the funds rate above that,” said former Fed official Roberto Perli, now a partner at consultant Cornerstone Macro LLC.

Of course, there’s no guarantee that Yellen will be around next year to gradually hike rates. Her four-year term atop the Fed expires on Feb. 3, and while President Donald Trump has said she could retain the job, he’s also looking at other candidates.

The emerging Fed strategy, though, does bear some resemblance to the approach advocated by the man that economists see as Yellen’s main rival – former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. In a January presentation to the American Economic Association, the Hoover Institution fellow urged the central bank to stop trying to fine-tune inflation and instead focus more on developments in finance, money and credit.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren has been a leading voice in advocating that policy makers put more weight on asset prices. Speaking in New York last week, Rosengren said the Fed should raise rates in a “regular and gradual” way despite low inflation – to guard against risks that the economy will overheat, “raising the probability of higher asset prices” or inflation well above target.

It’s not just the hawkish central bankers who see potential financial risks ahead.

PRIMARY CONCERN
“In the last two episodes when unemployment reached very low levels, it was in fact financial imbalances that were the primary concern, rather than accelerating inflation,” Fed Governor Lael Brainard said Sept. 5.

While she’s argued that macro-prudential measures should be the first response to such dangers, she’s also acknowledged that they’re “incomplete” – a point that departing Vice-Chairman Stanley Fischer also makes.

“A major concern of mine is that the US macro-prudential toolkit is not large and not yet battle tested,” he said in a speech last week.

To be sure, policy makers aren’t warning that a crisis is imminent. Indeed, Yellen has described the overall risks to financial stability as moderate.

But just as the Fed must anticipate the ups and the downs of the economy in running monetary policy, it also must be forward-looking when it comes to dealing with potential financial imbalances.

And in that regard, “elevated asset valuation pressures today may be indicative of rising vulnerabilities tomorrow,” Fischer said in June. — Bloomberg