On Dec. 19, 2017, President Duterte signed the Tax Reformation for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) bill into law, branded as the first tax reform package for a fairer and simpler tax system. It took effect on Jan. 1. It has its good and feared points.
Congress passed two-thirds of the needed revenue for 2018 in TRAIN I. It’s set to pass TRAIN 2 within the month that aims to lower corporate income taxes and modernize fiscal incentives. All told, government wants to raise about P2 trillion — 70% to help fund its P8-trillion Build, Build, Build infrastructure program; 30% to education, social protection, health, and housing among others. That’s a lot of money and a lot of temptations riding on it if you know what I mean.
The good news is that RA 10963 or TRAIN I lowered the personal income tax rate and gave salaried workers extra take-home pay. TRAIN stands for “Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion.” It exempts those earning an annual taxable income of P250,000 and below from paying income taxes. It also raises the tax exemption for 13th month pay and other bonuses to P90,000. Cooperatives, senior citizens, and persons with disabilities retained their tax exemptions.
Surgeries and procedures for correcting birth defects and dysfunctional body areas are tax exempt. VAT exempt are small businesses with total annual sales of P3 million or less; renewable energy, and medicines for diabetes, hypertension, and cholesterol (2019). Monthly rentals up to P15,000 are VAT-exempt. Though tax-exempt workers still have to file their ITRs for the BIR’s record and monitoring purposes. Finally, the current 12-page ITR will be reduced to only four.
However, to compensate for the loss of revenue from income taxes, we will be paying excise taxes on sweetened beverages, and higher excise taxes on petroleum, automobile, tobacco, mining, and coal. The higher monthly household bill will offset the gains from TRAIN I. Payroll managers have started adjusting their systems to reflect the new withholding tax rates. Supermarkets, oil retailers, convenience stores, and even sidewalk vendors have begun updating their price lists.
For example, the retail price of a one-liter bottle of cola could rise to P43 from P31. That’s a 38% price shock! This is due to the P12/liter tax on drinks using high fructose corn syrup, and P6/liter for drinks using sugar and artificial sweeteners. Exempted are milk products; 3-in-1 coffee; 100% natural fruit and vegetable juices; and coffee products. The sugar tax is a protectionist measure masquerading as a health measure.
In other countries, sugared drinks had differing tax rates depending on the sugar content. FNRI research shows that soft drinks account for 1.9% of the Filipino’s daily diet, while carbohydrates (rice and bread) that have a high sugar conversion rate, account for 40%. If they really wanted to raise revenues and protect the Filipino from obesity and diabetes, they should have taxed the real culprits.

Small vendors are now forced to buy less from a fixed revolving fund of, say, P1,000. Sari-sari store and carinderia owners report that soft drinks account for 40% of their daily business. With the price shock from TRAIN, soft drink sales dropped by 50%. It’s a poor family’s staple drink to give “taste” to their meager meals. Furthermore, cigarettes that used to sell at P5 a stick is now priced at P7 a stick.
TRAIN I directly affects power distributors, oil companies, and fuel retailers, but they’ll pass on the cost. Travel and shipping costs will rise. Expect public transport like the airlines, shipping lines, buses, jeepneys, pedicabs, railways, and truckers to raise their fares. TRAIN imposes an P8/liter increase in petroleum products; P2.50-P3/liter for diesel and kerosene; and P1/liter for household gas LPG, this year. Petroleum and gas taxes will gradually escalate until 2020.
Salaried workers are unhappy that government is giving them an income tax break while taking it away with tax hikes elsewhere. While they may have higher take-home pay, the cost of vehicles, electricity, transport fares, wet market and grocery bills will wipe it out and probably exceed the gains.
What else? Estates worth P5 million and below will have zero tax rate but will have a 6% tax rate on any excess over P5 million. The donor’s tax is now at 6% regardless of the relationship between donor and donee. Documentary Stamp Taxes have doubled. Beginning 2018, lotto winnings P10,000 and above will be subjected to 20% tax. Cosmetic procedures for aesthetic purposes will taxed at 5% .
What to expect then? A domino effect is foreseen: a cost-price squeeze will cause the consumer’s purchasing power to shrink. Consumption will drop, affecting the entire supply chain. Manufacturers will produce less. Retrenchments will occur across-the-board. Less sales and profits mean higher unemployment and fewer taxes to pay, fuelling a vicious cycle. That’s a lose-lose situation right there.
Labor unions are sensitive to the impact of TRAIN I on the formal (organized) and informal (underground) sectors of the economy such as vendors, fisherfolk, farmers, public utility vehicle and pedicab drivers. They’re preparing to file wage petitions in all 17 regional wage boards to counter the substantial price hikes in consumer products and services, compounded by inflationary pressures and interest rate hikes.
To cushion the poor from a cost-price squeeze, the DSWD will target cash transfers to the poorest 10-million households for implementation in the 1st quarter of 2018. It will start with a P200/month per family and increased to P300/month in the next 2 years. Looks good on paper. But how will it be distributed and monitored? The previous administration was unable to stop the money from going to dirty hands and pockets.
We need to build our strategic and vital infrastructure to build our economy and the nation. There’s a cost to that. The rich and the upper middle class can surely absorb the hit. It’s those in the peripheries that we need to bring out of poverty, not sink them deeper in it. We need to come together to help each other out.
Rafael M. Alunan III served in the Cabinet of President Corazon C. Aquino as Secretary of Tourism, and in the Cabinet of President Fidel V. Ramos as Secretary of Interior and Local Government.
rmalunan@gmail.com
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