Home Blog Page 7628

Local shares plunge as COVID-19 cases surge

Philippine Stock Exchange index

PHILIPPINE shares fell on Friday as investor sentiment was affected by the surge in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases.

The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) fell 3.6% or 236.38 points to close at 6,320.19 while the broader all shares index declined 2.04% or 82.99 points to finish at 3,976.94.

Japhet Louis O. Tantiangco, Philstocks Financial, Inc. senior research analyst, said the market was already posting losses for the majority of Friday’s trading day and was amplified by a last minute sell off.

“Sentiment was bearish due to the continuous rise in COVID-19 cases. The detection of more cases with the Delta variant also added to the pessimism,” Mr. Tantiangco said in a mobile phone message.

The Department of Health reported on Friday that the country posted 13,177 new confirmed COVID-19 cases, bringing the total number of cases to 1,713,302. It also reported that there are 96,395 active COVID-19 cases in the country.

The Health department also reported 299 new deaths, putting the country’s total death toll at 29,838. Meanwhile, new recoveries reached 4,322, bringing the total to 1,587,069.

AB Capital Securities, Inc. Junior Equity Analyst Lance U. Soledad said in a mobile phone message that the market’s close on Friday was the biggest percentage decline this year amid the last day of the index’s rebalancing.

“I think the index will continue to trade with a downward bias given that several major economic data as well as rebalancing changes have been reported, and investors will now be focusing on COVID-19 numbers,” Mr. Soledad said.

Among sectoral indices, the financials index was the only gainer at the end of Friday’s trading, rising by 0.01% or 0.25 points to 1,419.65.

Holdings firms dropped 5.21% or 340.42 points to 6,188.59; property shrank 3.88% or 118.53 points to 2,936.5; services went down 2.54% or 41.06 points to

1,573.22; mining and oil decreased 1.85% or 181.81 points to 9,599.99; and industrials retreated 1.12% or 104.68 points to 9,223.62.

Decliners bested advancers, 134 against 63, while 45 names ended unchanged.

Value turnover on Friday reached P14.36 billion with 1.93 billion issues switching hands, down from the P18.23 billion with 4.16 billion issues traded the prior day.

Net foreign buying reached P259.73 million, higher than the P50 million worth of net foreign buying recorded on Thursday.

“The continued rise in positivity rate and daily cases increases the possibility of an enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) extension in the capital. We are looking at 6,270 as the next support level,” Mr. Soledad said. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

Pilipinas Shell earns P1.2B amid supply chain shift

PILIPINAS SHELL Petroleum Corp. sustained its recovery with a net income of P1.2 billion in the second quarter on the back of higher sales and the changes in its supply chain strategy, it said on Friday.

During the April-to-June period, the listed oil company reversed its P1.195-billion net loss a year ago. It also kept its momentum after the first quarter’s P1.02-billion net income.

In its stock exchange disclosure, Pilipinas Shell reported a 64.9% rise in net sales during the second quarter to P42.31 billion. Its costs of sales also climbed 50.2% to P36.82 billion.

For the first half, the company posted a P2.22-billion net income, swinging from a net loss of P6.74 billion a year ago. It attributed the reversal to a shift in its supply chain strategy.

Cesar G. Romero, Pilipinas Shell president and chief executive officer, described the company’s first-semester performance as a “significant rebound” after the previous year’s loss.

“It validates our bold decision to transform the way we do business amidst uncertain conditions resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic,” Mr. Romero said in the disclosure.

On June 30, the company launched Shell Import Facility Tabangao, or SHIFT, which changed its refinery in Batangas into a world-class import terminal that will address fuel demand in Metro Manila, Southern Luzon, and Northern Visayas.

For the six-month period, the company’s net sales rose 11.1% to P82.23 billion compared with P74.03 billion a year ago.

In contrast, Pilipinas Shell’s cost of sales fell 6.8% to P70.76 billion from P75.92 billion the previous year.

For the period, the company posted a 45% increase in the sales of bitumen products amid the sustained support for road construction projects.

“Shell Instapave, with its innovative quick-application technology, was used for road repairs in North Luzon and residential builds in Visayas. Shell Bitufreshair was used for infrastructure projects all over the country, enhancing the air quality for motorists and passengers,” the company said.

Pilipinas Shell said its marketing volume for the second quarter rose 18%. However, its marketing volume delivery for the first half was flat compared to previous years as a result of travel restrictions caused by the pandemic.

“The [second quarter] increase stems from innovative marketing initiatives that focus on the consumer’s fuel and non-fuel needs and use digital means to improve customer engagement and perception,” the company said.

“Strong volume and profit performance were also seen in the lubricants business, with premium products growth and deeper consumer penetration nationwide seen as key levers. The introduction of the Coolant Longlife Plus product line in the second quarter is expected to drive further growth for the segment,” it added.

Pilipinas Shell said it opened 15 mobility sites in the first half, while its non-fuel network as of end June totalled 153 Shell Select stores, 235 Select Express, 70 Deli2Gos, 415 Lube bays, and 353 Shell Helix Centers.

Mr. Romero said that while the pandemic poses challenges to the country’s economic recovery, it does not preclude growth.

“We intend to continue to be the preferred energy partner for the industries that we serve, and the country itself, to thrive in a better normal,” he said.

On Friday, shares of Pilipinas Shell at the stock exchange declined 1.01% or 18 centavos to close at P17.62 each. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

First Gen profit up 11% on strong power sales

FIRST Gen Corp. recorded an 11% increase in its first-half recurring net income attributable to equity holders to P7.1 billion carried by stronger electricity sales and prices.

The Lopez group’s power generation said in a stock exchange disclosure on Friday that its consolidated revenues from the sale of electricity in the first half rose 12% to P50.8 billion.

Francis Giles B. Puno, First Gen president and chief operating officer, said power demand returned to pre-pandemic levels amid the limitations caused by the slow recovery of the economy.

He added that brownouts experienced in the second quarter have shown the importance of keeping the company’s portfolio properly maintained and operational.

“We are steadily progressing with constructing the country’s first liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal for delivery in fourth quarter of 2022. We are also working to deliver more power projects across our portfolio despite the uncertainty surrounding the market and its accompanying business risks,” Mr. Puno said.

In its disclosure, First Gen said its natural gas portfolio accounted for 58% of total consolidated revenues. The geothermal, wind, and solar revenues of subsidiary Energy Development Corp. (EDC) accounted for 36%, while the hydro plants accounted for 5%.

First Gen said its natural gas platform posted a P5.2-billion attributable net income for the first half, higher than the P4.5 billion net income posted in 2020.

“The 97-megawatt (MW) Avion power plant enjoyed higher electricity sales as it supplied the grid with supplemental power during constraint periods while the other natural gas-fired plants reaped the benefits of lower income tax rates under Republic Act No. 11534 or the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises Act (CREATE) law,” the company said.

“These were slightly offset by the 420 MW San Gabriel power plant’s lower generation due to repair work that was completed in the first quarter of the year,” it added.

First Gen said the attributable net income of EDC for the period barely changed at P2.2 billion.

However, EDC’s recurring attributable earnings from its geothermal, wind, and solar platform dropped 3% to P2.3 billion.

“EDC incurred higher power plant and steam field maintenance expenses and foreign exchange losses in the first half. These were offset by lower interest expenses and income taxes,” the company said.

First Gen’s hydro platform posted an increase in its attributable earnings during the first half to P300 million from P200 million in the same period last year.

“The 132.8 MW Pantabangan-Masiway power plants generated higher revenues due to the commencement of its contract with the Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) that was augmented by merchant sales,” the company said.

On Friday, shares of First Gen at the stock exchange fell 4.24% or P1.15 to end at P26 apiece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

MacroAsia trims loss, sees slow recovery

MacroAsia Corp. trimmed its second-quarter net loss to P289.22 million from P489.1 million in the same period a year earlier, “as recovery in pax and flight movements has progressed slowly in 2021.”

Total revenues for the quarter climbed 91.1% to P473 million from P247.5 million in the same period in 2020, the company said in its quarterly report released on Friday.

Broken down, in-flight and other catering revenue rose 44.4% to P121.44 million, while revenue from ground-handling and aviation surged 189.9% to P287.9 million.

Rental and administrative revenue remained at P7.27 million, while water revenue fell 2.2% to P54.86 million.

Total revenue for the first half declined 45.9% to P875.91 million from P1.62 billion in the same period a year ago.

First-half attributable net loss reached P524.4 million, compared with a net loss of P479.4 million reported in the same period last year.

In June this year, First Aviation Academy, Inc., the aviation school established by the joint venture of MacroAsia and PTC Holdings Corp., purchased nine Cessna 172 planes and one flight simulator from the former Philippine Air Lines Aviation School to augment its fleet, the listed company said.

MacroAsia Mining Corp., MacroAsia said, intends to close this year its discussions with other nickel mine operators “to start the operations of at least the nickel mine due to the demand for this mineral for batteries, among others.”

“The group’s water business is set to get a big revenue boost, with a water service JV (joint venture) becoming operational by second half of 2021,” it also said.

MacroAsia shares closed 0.44% higher at P4.53 apiece on Friday. — Arjay L. Balinbin

Alsons income slips 37% on lower revenues

ALSONS Consolidated Resources, Inc. (ACR) reported a 37.1% decline in it second-quarter net income attributable to owners to P174.19 million on the back of lower revenues.

The listed holding firm said in a regulatory filing on Friday that its revenues for the period fell 19.6% to P2.47 billion. Revenue from contract with customers reached P2.469 billion, while rental and other income contributed P2.64 million.

Core net earnings for the quarter rose 35.8% to P492.39 million compared with P362.49 million in 2020.

For the first half, ACR reported a 19.6% drop in its attributable net income to P267.06 million from P331.98 million the year earlier.

Revenues during the six-month period fell 12.5% to P4.63 billion. Of the total, revenue from contract with customers contributed P4.626 billion, while P5.39 million came from rental and other income.

Core net earnings of the company for the period reached P871.16 million, up 29.5% from P672.97 million a year ago.

According to ACR, its 210-megawatt (MW) Sarangani Energy Corp. baseload power plant was the key revenue and income driver.

The power plant supplies power to areas in Mindanao such as Sarangani province, General Santos, Cagayan de Oro, Iligan, Dipolog, Dapitan, Pagadian, Samal, Tagum, Kidapawan, and Butuan.

ACR has a portfolio of four power facilities that have an aggregate capacity of 468 MW serving more than eight million people across 11 provinces in Mindanao.

The company is expecting to add another power plant in its portfolio with the P4.5-billion 14.5-MW hydroelectric power plant being built in Sarangani’s Siguil River. The plant is set to begin operations in early 2022.

Moving forward, ACR said it would focus on its renewables segment with seven

hydroelectric plants in various stages of development.

“The next two hydro facilities in the pipeline following the Siguil Hydro plant, are the 22 MW Siayan (Sindangan) Hydro plant in Zamboanga del Norte and the 42 MW Bago Hydro plant in Negros Occidental,” the company said.

On Friday, shares of ACR at the stock exchange dropped 0.81% or one centavo to end at P1.23 apiece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

Axelum profit climbs as product output rises

AXELUM Resources Corp. recorded a 111% increase in its net income for the second quarter to P172.81 million due to volume growth across its core product segments.

For the first half, net income rose 57% to P318.42 million, the listed coconut product manufacturer and exporter said in a stock exchange disclosure on Friday.

Henry J. Raperoga, Axelum president and chief operating officer, said the company’s financial results show a “compelling growth story” amid the challenging times.

“We are receiving increasing order quantities from our blue-chip customers, and at the same time attracting new clients from various geographies, as we continue to roll out innovative and high margin products. This puts us in a unique position to accelerate our growth momentum moving forward,” Mr. Raperoga said.

Axelum’s topline for the six-month period improved 30% to P3.1 billion from P2.39 billion as its core product segments recorded volume growth.

“In terms of volumes, desiccated coconut grew 24%, while sweetened coconut, coconut milk powder and coconut water, increased 34%, 11% and 23%, respectively,” it said.

“For 2021, Axelum has consistently produced record monthly output for its desiccated coconut, coconut water and coconut milk powder segments, keeping on-track to exceed last year’s total volume,” it added.

Operating income rose 105% to P387.38 million from P188.65 million on the back of an enterprise-wide fixed cost discipline.

The company said gross margin “significantly improved” to 26% from 21%, which it attributed to a mix-shift strategy and operational efficiencies, despite higher input and shipping costs.

“Axelum continuous to ramp up production of its premium-priced high-margin product variants targeted for export markets,” it said.

During the period, net margin widened to 10% from 9% despite a normalized effective tax rate of 23% versus 6% after fully realizing special tax incentives earlier this year, it said.

Axelum said it was recently granted tax holidays for its new agglomerated spray-dryer and pressed coconut water, on pioneer producer status, and will take effect in the second half of the year.

Meanwhile, the company said it expects to continue its growth trajectory amid a strong global demand for coconut products and the recovery of its major export markets.

“At present, Axelum is incubating new products in different development phases that will cater to the rapidly-growing global plant-based food industry. These initiatives will extend its product line-up and create additional revenue streams in the coming years. As of June 2021, domestic e-commerce sales have grown by 57% and continuing to gain traction among local consumers,” the company said.

“Operationally, Axelum has boosted daily nut processing activities by 27%, following the reconfiguration of its nut opening plant, which features higher capacity while staying compliant with mandatory health and safety protocols. Moreover, Axelum is currently expanding its warehousing facilities to meet rising demand for its world-class products,” it added.

On Friday, shares of Axelum at the stock exchange rose 0.36% or one centavo to end at P2.79 apiece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

ATI sees signs of sustained trade recovery

Asian Terminals, Inc. (ATI) said it saw “indications of sustained trade recovery” in the first half of the year after its January-to-June revenues increased 8.2% to P5.5 billion.

“Net income for the period stood at P1.13 billion, a slight 2% step back from last year due to volume-driven expenses, additional [pandemic] resiliency measures, and unfavorable foreign exchange,” ATI said in an e-mailed statement to reporters on Friday.

ATI’s Manila South Harbor and Batangas Container Terminal handled more than 660,000 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of international containers in the first six months, the company said, noting that the volume “represents a consolidated… growth of 17% compared [with] the first half of 2020.”

ATI Executive Vice President William Khoury said the first-half results reflect “the strength and resilience of our company as a trade enabler built across 35 years of pioneering experience in the industry.”

“We intend to sustain this momentum headed into the second half of the year by continuously working safely and efficiently in collaboration with our customers, dockworkers, port authorities and other stakeholders, following the stringent health and safety protocols prescribed by international and local Covid-19 experts,” he added.

ATI has said it would be “business as usual” for its ports during the implementation of stricter community quarantine rules from Aug. 6 to 20 in the National Capital Region and nearby provinces to ensure the unhampered flow of food, medical supplies, consumer goods, and other vital necessities.

ATI shares closed 0.71% lower at P14 apiece on Friday. — Arjay L. Balinbin

Global Ferronickel income surges on higher ore sales

GLOBAL Ferronickel Holdings, Inc. (FNI) reported a second-quarter net income of P735 million, more than double its profit attributable to parent firm equity holders a year ago, on the back of higher ore sales.

In a stock exchange disclosure on Friday, it said ore sales for the quarter rose 64.2% to P2.48 billion, while costs of sales climbed 22.2% to P790.34 million.

“We garnered more favorable results this year as the market experienced a big jump in the price of low-grade nickel ore. We did not experience a stoppage of operations as what happened in April last year,” FNI President Dante R. Bravo said in the disclosure.

For the first half, FNI’s attributable net income improved 226.3% to P641.86 million from P196.69 million.

The company’s revenues for the period rose 68.9% to P2.61 billion. Cost of sales also rose 23.1% to P837.81 million.

A total of 32 nickel ore shipments were completed in the first half, higher than the 23 shipments last year.

Due to higher nickel ore shipments, FNI posted a 38.3% increase in its shipment volume to 1.74 million wet metric tons (WMT) from the 1.258 million WMT in 2020.

“These were 100% exported to China and consisted of 1.465 million WMT low-grade nickel ore and 0.275 million WMT medium-grade nickel ore. The resulting sales mix is 84% low-grade ore and 16% medium-grade ore in 2021 compared to 52% low-grade ore and 48% medium-grade ore in the previous year,” FNI said.

According to FNI, the average realized nickel ore price during the first half rose 27.6% to $31.10 per WMT from $24.38 per WMT a year ago.

It added that the price of low-grade ore for the period rose 61.7% to $31.01 per WMT while the price of medium-grade ore increased 5.2% to $31.58 per WMT.

Meanwhile, FNI said it spent more than P35 million on its coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic response and is continuously working with different local government units in preventing the spread of the virus.

“We have donated personal protective equipment (PPE) supplies, test kits, disinfectants, vitamins, medical equipment, medical services, rice and other essential goods, and participated in building a molecular laboratory in Surigao and a COVID-19 test center in Palawan,” FNI said.

On Friday, shares of FNI at the stock exchange rose 2.51% or six centavos to end at P2.45 each. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

Concepcion Industrial swings to profit, sees recovery signs

CONCEPCION Industrial Corp. (CIC) posted a P137.14-million attributable net for the second quarter as market conditions improve, it said in a stock exchange disclosure on Friday.

The company’s performance during the quarter is a reversal of the P104.67-million net loss it suffered a year ago.

CIC Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Raul Joseph A. Concepcion said the company is “cautiously optimistic” for the rest of 2021 as the economy begins to normalize due to vaccination efforts.

“While we have seen signs of a market recovery during the first half, conditions remain challenging as the pandemic rages on. We can see the light at the end of the tunnel, and are investing to ensure we are ready for the post-pandemic economic recovery,” Mr. Concepcion said.

CIC’s net sales rose 109% to P3.56 billion, while its consolidated earnings climbed 284.6% to P232 million.

“The 2021 second quarter results benefited from improving market conditions as shown by the 11.8% second quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth, and the impact of the low-base effect from the comparative period in 2020,” CIC said.

For the first six months of the year, CIC’s attributable net income reached P195.6 million, a reversal of the P35.05-million net loss incurred a year ago. Net sales for the semester increased 45.1% to P6.44 billion.

“The positive results reflect the impact of our strategic investments and the cost restructuring programs we implemented,” CIC said.

On Friday, shares of CIC at the stock exchange fell 3.81% or 80 centavos to close at P20.20 apiece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

D.M. Wenceslao income up 11% but risks remain

D.M. Wenceslao and Associates, Inc. (DMW) reported a 10.7% increase in its second quarter net income attributable to parent equity holders to P300.80 million on the back of higher revenues.

It said in a stock exchange disclosure on Friday that its revenues for the quarter rose 4.7% to P550.39 million.

Delfin Angelo C. Wenceslao, DMW chief executive officer, said the company remains vigilant of risks that will surface amid the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, including the Delta variant and stricter lockdown measures.

“As risks continue to emerge, we highlight the importance of having a conservatively-managed balance sheet which so far has allowed us to support our stakeholders throughout this pandemic, to continue to distribute dividends to our shareholders, and to pounce on opportunities that presented themselves,” Mr. Wenceslao said.

For the first half, DMW posted an 18% increase in its attributable net income to P852.82 million due to the tax credit related to Republic Act No. 11534 or the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprise Act (CREATE).

Its consolidated revenues during the period dropped 20% to P1.24 billion, as its residential revenue fell 51% to P267 million.

“Only P110 million revenues were booked for Pixel Residences during the period, down from P517 million in the first half of 2020. We note that Pixel Residences is already near full completion and turnover, with little remaining unrecognized revenues. Meanwhile, revenues from MidPark Towers reached P156 million from only P29 million in the first half of 2020,” DMW said.

According to DMW, its building leasing portfolio remained at a 90% occupancy rate, while its recurring income such as rentals from land, building, and other revenues remained stable at P974 million and accounted for 78% of total first half revenues.

On Friday, shares of DMW at the stock exchange rose 0.14% or one centavo to finish at P7 each. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

AREIT says on track to reach carbon neutrality by yearend

AREIT, Inc., the real estate investment trust of Ayala Land, Inc., said Friday that it is “on track” to achieve carbon neutrality in its commercial properties this year.

“AREIT is on track to achieve carbon neutrality by yearend and targets net zero emission by end 2022 for its current buildings, contributing to Ayala Land’s carbon neutrality in the same year,” it said in a statement.

Carbon neutrality refers to achieving net zero emissions by balancing carbon emissions and absorption from the atmosphere.

The company celebrated its first anniversary on Friday since it debuted on the Philippine Stock Exchange.

AREIT said it intends “to deliver site resilience, pedestrian mobility and connectivity, resource efficiency and local economic development through its commercial properties.”

The share price of AREIT has increased by 34.8% since listed in 2020, owing to high demand from investors.

“From an IPO (initial public offering) price of P27, it reached a 52-week high of P37,” AREIT noted.

AREIT President and Chief Executive Officer Carol T. Mills said: “We are glad to have demonstrated through AREIT the benefits of investing in REITs and its contribution to fueling real estate development.”

AREIT posted a 31% increase in net income to P1.34 billion in the first six months of 2020.

In a recent statement, AREIT said that excluding the unrealized gains in fair value recognition of its properties, its first-half net income climbed by 55% to P1.01 billion.

AREIT shares closed 1.51% higher at P36.95 apiece on Friday. — Arjay L. Balinbin

BSP watching price pressures

REUTERS

The Philippine central bank would monitor the potential second-round effects of inflation and would deploy policy tools to safeguard price and financial stability, Governor Benjamin E. Diokno said on Friday. 

“We agree with the assessment of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that inflation could return to its pre-pandemic ranges in most countries in 2022,” he told an online news briefing. “However, caution should be exercised to ensure that temporary price pressures do not become fully entrenched in the domestic price dynamics.” 

“The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) stands ready to maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance for as long as necessary to support the economy’s recovery amid the adverse impact of the COVID-19 pandemic,” he added. 

The central bank would also ensure that monetary policy settings are “in line with sustainable recovery of the economy, consistent with its price and financial stability mandates.” 

The Philippines should avoid prematurely unwinding fiscal and monetary support for the economy given a fragile recovery amid lockdowns spurred a fresh surge in coronavirus infections, according to the IMF. 

“We need to nurture this recovery,” IMF Philippine representative Yongzheng Yang told an online forum on Friday. “One thing we should avoid is the premature withdrawal of macroeconomic policy support, because recovery is so fragile.” 

The government appears to have balanced economic support with a sustainable debt level, Mr. Yang said.

The multilateral lender projected the country’s general government debt to peak at 62% of economic output by 2024 from 48.1% in 2020, higher than the pre-pandemic ratio of 34.1%. This is considered a moderate level compared with peer countries.

“But within this good balance, there needs to be flexibility in policy support,” he said. 

“We need to be able to move resources quickly to respond to emerging priorities,” Mr. Yang said. The recent infection surge showed the need to support the health sector by boosting hospital resources, tracing, testing, isolation and vaccination, he added. 

The IMF in June cut its 2021 economic growth forecast for the Philippines to 5.4% from the 6.9% it gave in March. Mr. Yang said the virus surge and renewed lockdowns threaten economic expansion that is less optimistic than the government’s 6-7% target for the year. 

“There are risks and the bottom line is they are substantial,” the IMF official said. “The recovery will need to be nurtured and the risk needs to be managed.” 

Still, he said the government has enough fiscal room to mitigate the risks of a protracted coronavirus pandemic. 

The state should also focus on improving the implementation of fiscal measures such as the credit guarantee scheme that is meant to encourage banks to lend more to small and medium-sized enterprises, Mr. Yang said. 

The IMF thinks the BSP should keep its monetary policy stance while taking into account rising consumer prices. But prices seem to have started moderating, and are is projected to go back to the central bank’s target of 2-4% by year-end, Mr. Yang said. 

“The risk of inflation is more or less balanced.” 

Inflation was 4% percent in July, the slowest in seven months and the first time it settled within the central bank’s 2-4% target for the year. 

The BSP also kept benchmark interest rates at record lows to support the economy. 

Fitch Solutions on Friday said it expects the central bank to keep the policy rate unchanged at 2% until late-2022, before increasing it by 50 basis points to 2.5% by the end of next year. 

In a note, the think tank said the BSP would keep its accommodative stance to support economic recovery as pandemic disruptions persist. The chances of further policy rate cuts seem muted since demand for credit remained weak, it added. 

“A spread of the Delta variant to other regions and prolonged nationwide lockdowns could even prompt the BSP to ease monetary conditions further to support growth,” it said. 

“For now, we think any monetary easing would come via the lowering of reserve requirement ratios rather than a cut to the key policy rate,” it added.