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Farm performance likely worse in Q3 — estimates

FARM PRODUCTION likely weighed on overall economic performance last quarter, according to the government’s agriculture chief and one economist who both said last week that they expect worse performance from the sector when the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reports data on Wednesday.
Asked on expected farm production in the three months to September compared to the second quarter and a year ago, Agriculture Secretary Emmanuel F. Piñol replied in an Oct. 29 text message that it was likely “slower than both periods because of calamities.”
The PSA had reported the agriculture sector’s output had expanded by a three-quarter-low 2.32% in the three months to September 2017 and by just 0.07% in the second quarter of this year.
For Rolando T. Dy, executive director of the University of Asia and the Pacific’s Center for Food and Agri Business, third-quarter farm output likely slumped, saying in an Oct. 29 text message: “-1 to -2, much less than third quarter of 2017” and explaining: “Laki fall ng corn, negative rice (There was a big fall in corn production and rice output was also negative).”
Among the four storms that affected the Philippines that quarter was typhoon Mangkhut, locally called Ompong, that ravaged northern and central Luzon on Sept. 15, wreaking P26.77 billion and P7.161 billion in farm and infrastructure damage, respectively, according to Oct. 6 government estimates. — Reicelene Joy N. Ignacio

Stock exodus breather doesn’t mean worst is over

LAST WEDNESDAY marked the first day of foreign investments into Philippine equity funds after a record streak of withdrawals. But overseas traders remain skeptical.
The net $4.3-million inflow is just a drop in the ocean compared with the $422 million that fled the nation’s stock funds in the previous 44 days.
Despite a 17% plunge in the Philippine equity index so far this year, the shares are still expensive relative to their Asian peers, and estimates for corporate-earnings growth aren’t appealing enough, according to Aberdeen Asset Management’s regional branch, HSBC Holdings Plc and Banca del Sempione SA.
“Most markets have taken a beating so it’s very difficult to make the Philippines stand out because everything else is attractive,” said Bharat Joshi, a fund manager at Aberdeen Standard Investments. “The story is still good, but valuation has to be taken into context given the headwinds ahead.”
The Philippine Stock Exchange Index has become one of the world’s worst-performing equity indexes this year amid a sinking peso, rising inflation and economic growth that’s slowed to a three-year low.
With the US expansion on a strong path and the Federal Reserve raising rates, foreign outflows from the Philippines may continue after the market lured money in eight of the last 10 years, Mr. Joshi said.
Wednesday’s inflow was due to investors hunting for bargains after a strong beating, according to Jonathan L. Ravelas, the chief market strategist at BDO Unibank, Inc. Any market rebound will get temporary support from a strengthening peso and drop in commodity prices, he added. The currency posted its biggest jump in almost a year last month on speculation inflation is reaching a peak as Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Assistant Governor Francis Dakila said consumer prices are likely to begin easing.
Cheuk Wan Fan, the head of investment strategy for Asia at HSBC Private Bank, said she’s keeping a two-year-old neutral rating on Philippine shares, citing bleak economic data, modest earnings growth, high valuations and the lack of support from dividend yields. She sees some respite possibly in mid-2019, with a slower appreciation of the US dollar and peak in US interest rates.
For now, Philippine shares may suffer some more as investors may keep pulling money from the market amid Fed tightening and rising bond yields, according to Federico Parenti, who helps manage $1.3 billion at Sempione Sim SpA in Milan. “Money needs a nice reward to be back,” he said. “Philippine market valuations are not so compelling yet and the currency is not stable. Many bottlenecks in infrastructure make it not the favorite location for investment, so many investors are looking to re-allocate their assets elsewhere.” — Bloomberg

Analysts’ October Inflation Rate, Q3 GDP Growth Estimates

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT growth likely picked up a bit last quarter compared to the three months to June despite faster inflation, which could have sustained its pace in October, according to a poll of 15 analysts which BusinessWorld conducted late last week.
Read the full story.
Analysts’ October Inflation Rate, Q3 GDP Growth Estimates

Mitsubishi PHL mulls Mirage exports

MITSUBISHI MOTORS Philippines Corp. (MMPC) may export Mirage units locally produced under the Comprehensive Automotive Resurgence Strategy (CARS) program to Asian markets.
MMPC First Vice-President Dante C. Santos said the proposal will be raised during its meeting with the Board of Investments (BoI) on the CARS program.
“We’ll try to give them an update on how we are mobilizing local CARS makers, supporting the program. Well try to give them an update on the effect of these economics on our pricing and any future problems,” he told reporters.
Asked if the local market cannot absorb the company’s production, Mr. Santos said: “So far, kaya pa naman.”
He noted the CARS program does not require participants to sell the vehicles to the local market.
Under the CARS program, MMPC targets to produce 200,000 Mirage units within a six-year period ending 2023.
Asked which countries are viable export markets for the Mirage, the MMPC official said, “We still have to restrict ourself in Asia and look at the countries who do not produce that model… Maraming options. Vietnam is an option.”
Mr. Santos said MMPC will assess the profitability of the plan while taking into account the different tax structures and import procedures of potential markets for the Mirage.
For his part, Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez welcomed the plan, saying this is “very much encouraged” to show the competitiveness of the country and to expand exports.
“This is also precisely the reason we have the manufacturing resurgence program and the CARs program so we can build a stronger manufacturing base to give us the capacity to expand our exports,” Mr. Lopez, also the BoI chair, added in an earlier mobile message.
MMPC is the second largest seller of automotive products in the country.
In the January to September period, the company sold 50,588 units, lower by 5.4% from the 53,470 units sold in the same period last year.
The local auto industry expects lower sales this year as it reels from the effects of higher excise taxes, rising fuel prices and soaring inflation. — Janina C. Lim

Villar’s Streamtech not vying for 3rd telco slot

VILLAR-LED Streamtech Systems Technologies, Inc. will not participate in the government’s search for a third telco player, as it focuses on its own expansion strategies.
“After extensive discussions by management, Streamtech has decided not to proceed with the current bidding for the third telco and focus on our internal expansion programs and strategies,” Manuel Paolo A. Villar, chairman of Streamtech parent Prime Asset Ventures, Inc., said in a statement e-mailed to reporters over the weekend.
Department of Information and Communications Technology (DICT) Acting Secretary Eliseo M. Rio, Jr. was earlier quoted as saying that Streamtech expressed interest for the third telco race.
Streamtech was one of the five companies that bought the selection documents from the National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) on the first day of its availability last Oct. 8. At that time, a Streamtech representative asked the NTC not to disclose its participation.
President Rodrigo R. Duterte signed on Oct. 18 Republic Act (RA) No. 11089, granting Streamtech a 25-year telecommunications franchise that will allow the company to “construct, install, establish, operate, and maintain telecommunications systems throughout the Philippines.” A copy of the law was distributed to media on Oct. 23.
Streamtech must start operations within a year from the approval of its operating permit from the NTC, or within three years from the effectivity of RA No. 11089. Should it fail to operate continuously for two years, the franchise will be “deemed ipso facto revoked.”
Mr. Rio earlier said that Streamtech will have to partner with a foreign firm with at least 10 years’ experience in the nationwide telco business to participate in the bidding process.
Ten companies have so far purchased bid documents from the NTC ahead of the Nov. 7 deadline. Local firms include Davao businessman Dennis A. Uy’s Udenna Corp.; Mel V. Verlade’s Now Corp. affiliate Now Telecom Co., Inc.; a consortium led by TierOne Communications International, Inc. and Luis “Chavit” C. Singson’s LCS Group of Companies; Philippine Telegraph and Telephone Corp. (PT&T); Pampanga businessman Dennis Anthony Uy’s Converge ICT Solutions, Inc., AMA Telecommunication Corp., and one undisclosed company.
Foreign participants are Norway’s Telenor Group, China’s China Telecom Corp. Ltd. and Austria’s Mobiltel Holding GmbH.
The DICT will announce on Nov. 7 the “provisional” third telco player, who will then undergo a post qualification process.
The winner will be selected based on three criteria, namely national coverage (40%); capital expenditures (35%), and internet speed (25%).
The third telco player will be awarded with a certificate of public convenience and necessity (CPCN) valid for 15 years or the length of the franchise of a bidder, whichever is shorter; and radio frequency bands of 700 megahertz (MHz), 2100 MHz, 2000 MHz, 2.5 gigahertz (GHz), 3.3 GHz and 3.5 GHz. — Arra B. Francia

FamilyMart Philippines operator ramping up expansion

PHILIPPINE FAMILYMART CVS, Inc. will open 14 more stores by yearend, as the operator of convenience stores accelerates its expansion under the helm of Davao-based businessman Dennis A. Uy.
“We have 14 stores to be opened in the succeeding months… We’re now 71, we hope to get close to 100 soon,” FamilyMart General Manager Roald Johann L. Yap said in a recent interview.
This will bring the company’s number of operating stores to 85 by the end of 2018.
Mr. Yap said the new branches will be opened in Luzon, where all its stores are also currently located.
The new stores will feature the company’s recently launched Generation 2 design, which will offer wider dining spaces for customers, around 200 new food products including Japan’s crispy chicken fillet, Japanese treats, hotdog sandwiches, and Filipino merienda delicacies, as well as new service crew uniforms designed by renowned Filipino designer Rajo Laurel.
FamilyMart unveiled last week its first Generation 2 store, after the company refurbished its very first outlet in the country located at the ground floor of Glorietta 3 at Ayala Center, Makati City. Alongside the opening of more stores, Mr. Yap said they will also be redesigning 14 stores next year to showcase the Generation 2 concept.
Mr. Yap said the new stores will be operated by franchisees as part of the company’s expansion strategies.
“We’re a franchise business, one of the values we really adhere to is helping our franchisees succeed because if you take care of them, they’re the ones who take care of their customers,” Mr. Yap said.
Asked how many new stores are scheduled for 2019, Mr. Yap said they plan to outnumber the store openings they had for this year. So far, he noted that they have opened close to 20.
“Hopefully we can surprise you guys with a number next year,” he added.
The Japanese chain of convenience stores entered the Philippines via SIAL CVS Retailers, Inc., a joint venture between Ayala Land, Inc.’s ALI Capital Corp. and SSI Group, Inc., along with Japanese partners FamilyMart Co. Ltd., and Itochu Corp. The group earlier said it planned to grow FamilyMart to 500 stores by 2018.
SIAL CVS Retailers was then acquired by Mr. Uy’s group in 2017 through his independent oil firm Phoenix Petroleum Philippines, Inc. The move was seen to facilitate FamilyMart’s expansion, as the convenience store could complement Phoenix Petroleum’s service stations nationwide. By end-June, the company operated a total of 545 stations.
FamilyMart registered a seven percent average daily sales growth during the first six months of the year. Phoenix Petroleum said it targets to make the business profitable by 2019. — Arra B. Francia

Meralco Powergen in ‘serious’ talks with renewable energy developers

By Victor V. Saulon
Sub-editor
MERALCO POWERGEN CORP. (MGen) is in “serious” discussions with renewable energy developers to buy into existing projects, including a wind farm with an existing feed-in tariff (FiT) contract with the government, as it trains its sights into clean energy projects.
Meron na kaming (We have) serious discussions with some developers and we’re also looking at some greenfield [projects] na kami mismo ang magde-develop (that we ourselves will develop),” said Rogelio L. Singson, MGen president and chief executive officer, in a chance interview last week.
Aside from MGen’s long-delayed Atimonan coal-fired power plant project, the company’s focus now is on renewable energy development.
“I don’t think any of the parties we’re talking to have any of the FiT. Kung meron man (If there is one) it’s with the wind project that we’re talking to na may feed-in-tariff,” Mr. Singson said.
Asked about the capacity of the wind farm with an existing FiT, Mr. Singson said: “If I’m not mistaken mga (around) 100 [megawatts]).”
He added that only one project has a secured FiT, or the government scheme to encourage the development of renewable energy by awarding a fixed rate for the power they produce for 20 years.
He declined to name the developers with which the company has ongoing talks, except that their projects are all in Luzon. MGen will be buying into existing projects, he added, without disclosing whether it would take a controlling interest.
“We’re not at this point looking outside Luzon,” he said. “We’re talking to a few developers who are interested in tying up with MGen.”
MGen, a unit of Manila Electric Co. (Meralco), is leading the development of three power plants — all coal-fired — either on its own or in partnership with other entities.
Its unit Atimonan One Energy, Inc. (A1E) is building a two-unit ultra supercritical coal-fired power plant, each with a capacity of 600-MW in Atimonan, Quezon.
A1E’s power supply agreement with distribution utility Meralco was submitted to the ERC in April 2016 and had gone through public hearings, technical working group review and assessment of the tariff.
Another unit, San Buenaventura Power Ltd. Co., is constructing a 455-MW facility in Mauban, Quezon province. It will be the country’s first supercritical coal-fired power plant. The plant was targeted to be completed in mid-2019.
The third project, a coal-fired power plant under Redondo Peninsula Energy, Inc., has two units, each with a capacity of 300 MW using the circulating fluidized bed technology.
In May, Mr. Singson said MGen was targeting renewable energy (RE) to account for at least 20% of the company’s attributable capacity in the coming years. He said placed a target RE capacity of between 500 MW and 600 MW in the next three to four years.
He had said solar has a “very strong potential” in Luzon amid a tighter window for coal-fired power plants. At that time, he said the company was looking at some of the stranded solar farms that failed to make it to the government’s FiT scheme.

Consolidation of Davao co-ops key to growth — regulator

DAVAO CITY — The Cooperative Development Authority (CDA) said successful cooperatives, particularly those in the Davao Region, should consider mergers and venture into new operations such as food processing.
CDA Regional Director Elma R. Oguis, in a forum last week as the nationwide Cooperative Month celebration concluded, said eight cooperatives in Davao are now part of the “billionaire’s club,” with assets breaching the P1 billion mark.
Data released last week by CDA show there are 2,042 registered cooperatives in the region, of which eight have assets of more than P1 billion, while 468 have at least P1 million.
Of the eight, three are based in the city: Sta. Ana Multi-Purpose Cooperative, Agdao Multipurpose Cooperative, and King Multipurpose Cooperative.
Ms. Oguis noted that these groups, which primarily function as small lending institutions for members and operate small stores, have started making investments in department stores and medical clinics.
These expansion activities could be taken a step further, she said, if cooperatives were to collaborate to strengthen their financial muscle and operate like small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
“The challenge is for us to go out of the comfort zones and go into other business. After merging and consolidating, we can concentrate on other types of (businesses),” said Ms. Oguis.
One example she cited is tapping available raw materials and go into value-added products for niche markets.
“Processing crops into chips and selling it to canteens may be a form of business,” she said.
Ms. Oguis said government assistance for technical development and marketing are available from agencies like the Department of Science and Technology, and the Department of Trade and Industry, while local governments also have special programs for SMEs.
CDA has also set up its online Cooperative Business Matching Information System, which provides information that could help cooperatives find new markets for their products.
Ms. Oguis said well-managed cooperatives have the potential to serve as growth drivers that benefit their members while contributing to economic development. — Carmelito Q. Francisco

Yoga pants built a $48-B industry that’s replacing jeans

THE FIRST pairs of yoga pants Lululemon sold in 1998 were a simple item for women to wear at the studio. They were a mix of nylon and Lycra — synthetic elastic fibers that provided the stretch and softness needed to manage all those sweat-inducing contortions during a lengthy session on the mat.
Yoga, first as an exercise and later as a cultural phenomenon (or cliché, depending on your cynicism), had yet to take hold. At the turn of the century, the pants filled a niche for yogis who were simply looking for a higher-end alternative to plain cotton leggings.
Two decades later, they’ve conquered the closet, even for people who never see the inside of a yoga studio. In 2014, teenagers began to prefer leggings over jeans. Then people started wearing athletic clothing (or athleisure, but it’s mostly just yoga pants) to run errands. Now they’re wearing yoga pants to the office. US imports of women’s elastic knit pants last year surpassed those of jeans for the first time ever, according to the US Census Bureau.
Fashion trends seesaw constantly, but rarely does an entire category shift. Over four decades, rubber-soled sneakers gave way to basketball shoes, which in turn fell to trainers. Boxer briefs didn’t exist 25 years ago — drawers were still filled with plain old briefs. But now the hybrid is America’s most popular men’s underwear. Yoga pants have similarly managed to plunge denim into an existential crisis, threatening Levi Strauss & Co. so deeply that it had to scramble to adapt. The company added stretch and contouring to its jeans while hoping to retain some of their rugged essence.
The popularity of yoga pants has, predictably, led to a flood of competitors as brands fill every market segment, from Old Navy’s $20 pants to Lucas Hugh’s $230 versions. Lululemon Athletica Inc., largely credited with bringing stretchy pants to the masses, has poured money into developing new fabrics to fend off rivals — a pack that now includes the world’s biggest athletics companies.
“Consumers expect a lot more,” said Sun Choe, chief product officer at Lululemon. “They’re washing their garments more and more, and from a quality standpoint, it needs to stand up. They’re expecting some versatility in their product. They expect to be able to wear that pant or tight to Whole Foods or brunch.”
FABRICS
Lululemon’s original fabric, Luon, with a high proportion of nylon microfiber as opposed to a more typical polyester blend, was trademarked in the US in 2005. Many of its newer fabrics are branded and geared toward specific uses. Luxtreme is a moisture-wicking, four-way stretch fabric that’s meant to fit like a second skin. Nulux is a compression fabric meant for sweatier workouts. Silverescent is sold as Lululemon’s “stink-conquering technology,” using silver bonded to the surface of fibers to stop bacteria from reproducing. A T-shirt made from the material costs $68.
Leggings from market competitors use a similar strategy, promoting the versatile pants through branded fabric combinations. For Adidas, pants boast fabrics like its sweat-wicking Climalite material or the thermal-regulating Climacool and Climawarm to accommodate training conditions. Likewise, Nike’s Dri-Fit material keeps sweat at bay and trainers dry. Even Target’s C9-branded fitness collection flexes high-functioning fabrics: Freedom Fabric is a soft blend of polyester and spandex for lifestyle or fitness, while its Embrace Fabric hugs tight to the body for a cozy feel.
What was once a simple stretchy legging, it seems, has become an engineering marvel. Not too surprising, though, when you realize that about $48 billion is being spent on activewear in the US every year.
NOT RESTING ON LAURELS
The story of a breakthrough product made by an upstart company that gets swallowed or crushed by America’s corporate behemoths is an old one. Lululemon is dead set on not letting that happen this time.
Tucked away in the basement of its Vancouver headquarters is a lab called Whitespace, the retailer’s research and development skunkworks. Here a team of about 50 employees works to come up with the brand’s next big idea. It’s developed lightweight seamless bras and made yoga pants with repurposed yarn combinations normally used in lingerie. The staff isn’t made up of just textile workers tasked with making new fabrics. It includes scientists as well as physiologists, mechanical engineers, neuroscientists, and biomechanists.
Dr. Tom Waller, a sports technology PhD whose work has been tested in everything from Olympic swimming to soccer’s World Cup, runs Whitespace. When it first opened six years ago, the R&D center was intended to explore what the company calls the “science of feel” and to better understand sensory experiences. “The mission at the time was to take some of our talent a little further into the future to explore human behavior and the macro trends shifting around us,” he said.
Yoga pants are tangible, but Waller aspires to the ethereal. He speaks of sweat as currency and using technology to unlock human potential. He talks about the “spectrum of sensory experience and desires” when describing the different kinds of fabrics Lululemon sells. “We unpack the physical, emotional and mental components of what it is to be human,” said Waller, “and then we drive the difference experiences of the sensory.”
“You have to be doing something pretty wrong to not have success in this type of product.”
BIG BOOBOO
Alexandra Plante, director of innovation management at Whitespace, is responsible for taking what she calls “duct tape prototypes” and turning them into actual products. With a background in materials engineering, she delves into fabrics, yarns and polymers. Years ago, research was limited to focus groups and feedback from store associates who would query their shoppers. Now there are fabric labs, especially in the athletic-wear space. Lululemon’s research arm does motion-capture testing and uses pressure sensors that allow researchers to test how garments work as they move. The team can even test “hand feel” to help it figure out how to “engineer sensations” for that critical commercial moment when you feel the fabric for the first time, said Plante.
Back when Lululemon sold nothing but Luon, the company saw customers using the pants for all sorts of workouts, including high-intensity training the fabric was never meant for. So after R&D identified how consumers wore them, and for what, Lululemon developed material specific to each activity — hence the creation of pants for runners or dancers. Even Luon itself, the company’s original fabric, is different from what it was 20 years ago after years of tweaks and integration of new tech.
This watch-and-learn strategy became a virtuous circle, one that helped the craze turn into a full-on commercial earthquake.
Mistakes have been made, including one that was inherently — and spectacularly — calamitous. In 2013, Lululemon recalled pants for being too sheer, attributing the see-through problem to a manufacturing error. The subsequent destruction of the pants resulted in a loss of $67 million in sales. Choe said that problem has since been solved.
Now that it has a spectrum of products suited for most every movement, Lululemon has opened a pair of stores for those customers interested in still-experimental items. One of them, located in downtown Manhattan (the other is in Vancouver), looks more like a fashion boutique than a place to buy gear for the gym or yoga studio.
YOGA AND LEGGINGS
Yoga, as you might know, had been doing just fine for thousands of years without a stretchy uniform. The rise of yoga pants owes a lot to simple timing. Lululemon appeared on the scene at the tail end of the (perhaps unfortunate) leggings revolution, right about the time longer-term trends were leaning toward more casual dress.
The practice of yoga, a trifecta of physical, mental, and spiritual disciplines involving specific postures and movements with origins in ancient India, was first popularized as an exercise system in the West in the 1980s. It dropped off for a while, only to return more commercialized than ever in the early 2000s. A 2016 study from Yoga Journal found that more than 36 million people in the US practice yoga, up from about 16 million eight years ago. Boutique fitness followed, as women (and more than a few men) flocked to sparkling new studios to work out in groups for SoulCycle spin classes, sweat at Barry’s Bootcamp or sculpt their cores at Pure Barre. None of these expensive fads has anything to do with yoga in practice, but yoga clearly blazed a trail for them — and the clothing their adherents wear.
COMPETITION
The biggest businesses now in the athletic wear space have invested heavily in growing their womenswear lines — especially in developing new fabrics and features for the once-simple yoga pant. In 2014, Nike Inc. began working toward a $7 billion sales target for its women’s business, reporting almost $5 billion in revenue. Executives realized women were “driving a larger global movement of health and fitness.” A year later, the company reported that the global growth for women’s business was outpacing that of men. That same year, Adidas AG began directing its youth brand, Neo, toward younger women. The German sports giant even brought on former Lululemon Chief Executive Officer Christine Day as a strategic adviser.
Adidas quickly became a formidable threat to Lululemon’s dominance. Early steps turned into exclusive designs for women through the PureBoost X line, leading to an even larger emphasis on active tops and bottoms, using technology called Climachill and Techfit, both focused on women’s training. Last year, women’s sales for Adidas grew by 28%, making it one of the company’s strongest segments.
Active bottoms and leggings are now a $1 billion industry, according to NPD Group analyst Marshal Cohen. Their appeal to consumers has yielded rapid sales growth that shows no sign of going away, he said. Where Lululemon found success with female consumers by providing a niche product that could satisfy casual and active uses, major brands such as Adidas and Nike completed the picture, confirming just how strong the athleisure trend could be.
These days, there are more than 11,000 kinds of yoga-specific pants available at retailers worldwide, according to data from retail research firm Edited, across both men’s and women’s apparel.
“Now that this easy-to-fit, easy-to-find, easy-to-wear, easy-to-care-for product has emerged as a fashionable product at the same time, you’ve got the perfect storm,” Cohen said. “You have to be doing something pretty wrong to not have success in this type of product.” — Bloomberg

Negros Occidental to pilot free-seed program for three varieties of rice

NEGROS OCCIDENTAL will become the first provincial government to invest in a seed production program focused on at most three rice varieties, Agriculture Secretary Emmanuel F. Piñol said on Sunday.
Mr. Piñol said that upon agreement with Gov. Alfredo G. Marañon, Jr., the seeds will be distributed to farmers for free.
“Recipient farmers will in turn be required to ‘return’ two bags of seed which the provincial government will again distribute to two more farmers who will also be asked to pay back two bags of seeds each,” according to Mr. Piñol.
The three varieties are: Rc 216, RC 160 and RC222 which yield 9.7 tons per hectare, 8.2 tons per hectare, and 10 tons per hectare respectively, over a hundred or so days after sowing.
“The program for Negros Occidental to focus on just three varieties will be the first to be implemented nationwide,” Mr. Piñol said.
Mr. Piñol said that the multiple-variety farming system poses a problem in post-harvest operations because farmers who own small landholdings refuse to dry their palay (unmilled rice) in mechanical dryers because the various varieties require different treatment, a problem which also emerges in milling.
“The Negros Occidental 3-in-1 Rice Industry Program could serve as the blueprint for other provinces in the future,” Mr. Piñol said. — Reicelene Joy N. Ignacio

CAVITEx operator seeks 20-centavo toll rate hike

THE operator of the Cavite Expressway (CAVITEx) and the Philippine Reclamation Authority (PRA) are seeking to implement a 20-centavo per kilometer toll rate hike to recoup its P800-million investment in increasing the capacity of the R-1 Expressway.
Last Friday, the Toll Regulatory Board (TRB) published a notice to expressway users on the petition for approval of the add-on toll rate with application for provisional relief filed by Cavitex Infrastructure Corp. (CIC) and PRA. The TRB said CAVITEx users can file a counter petition within 30 days from Nov. 2.
The current toll fee at CAVITEx for the seven-kilometer R-1 road is P24 for Class 1 vehicles, P48 for Class 2 and P72 for Class 3, thus a 20-centavo increase would translate to an additional P1.40 across all vehicle types. The R-1 Expressway runs from Seaside Drive to Zapote.
CIC, the concession holder for the CAVITEx, submitted to the TRB on Oct. 12 its petition to start implementing the add-on toll rate. CIC cited its investment in the R-1 enhancement project, which included the construction of an additional lane on both directions from R-1 toll plaza to MIA Road Intersection, and an additional lane on both directions from R-1 toll plaza to Las Piñas bridge.
CIC asked the TRB to issue a Notice to Start Toll Collection and an order allowing it and the PRA to collect the add-on toll fee as soon as the R-1 opens.
The opening of R-1 was originally scheduled last month, but has been delayed, pending submission and approval of certain documentations.
CIC president Luigi L. Bautista previously said the company is investing P1.1 billion for the development works in CAVITEx, with Phase 1 taking up P800 million.
“The add-on toll rate for the New Project is a contractual right to which CIC and PRA are entitled under the ToA (terms of agreement). Furthermore, it is necessary to ensure the sustainability and viability of the MCTEP (Manila Cavite Toll Expressway Project) and its Expressways and to ensure the comfort and safety of motorists and other users of the Expressways and all the toll facilities,” CIC said in its petition.
Aside from the 20-centavo add-on it is seeking to implement now, the CAVITEx operator noted it has another 25-centavo add-on toll rate scheduled for the third quarter of 2019, when it finishes Phase 2 of the CAVITEx improvement works.
Phase 2 covers the P300-million widening of bridges in Wawa, Las Piñas and Parañaque, as well as the construction of an additional lane on both direction for the remaining R-1 mainline carriageway from Las Piñas Bridge to Zapote Interchange.
CIC is part of Metro Pacific Tollways Corp. (MPTC), the tollways unit of Metro Pacific Investments Corp. (MPIC). MPIC is one of three Philippine units of Hong Kong-based First Pacific Co. Ltd., others being PLDT, Inc. and Philex Mining Corp. Hastings Holdings, Inc., a unit of PLDT Beneficial Trust Fund subsidiary MediaQuest Holdings, Inc., has an interest in BusinessWorld through the Philippine Star Group, which it controls. — Denise A. Valdez

Yields on T-bills, bonds to go up

YIELDS ON Treasury bills (T-bill) and Treasury bonds (T-bond) to be auctioned off this week are likely to move sideways or slightly higher, with bids to continue stabilizing as the market expects better economic data to be released this week.
The Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) is offering P15 billion worth of T-bills at its auction today, of which P4 billion will be in 91-day debt papers, P5 billion in six-month securities, and P6 billion in the one-year tenor.
The government is also offering P15-billion worth of reissued 10-year T-bonds with a remaining life of nine years and four months on Tuesday. The notes carry a 6.25% coupon rate.
Traders interviewed last week said debt yields will likely move sideways or slightly higher as the market expects an easing in inflation and a more robust third-quarter economic growth.
“Last week, we saw a good rally in bonds. Mainly because of improving CPI (consumer price index) outlook. So expect the positive momentum to somehow carry over this week,” a trader said in a text message.
“However, I see CPI data hours before bond auction will dictate the tone,” the trader added, while noting it would be “hard to gauge if there will be good demand for that given the recent US jobs report, which means the Fed rate hike is almost sure this coming December.”
Last week, the government made a full P15-billion award of the T-bills it offered, with yields remaining low on strong investor demand amid expectations of easing inflation. Total tenders stood at P26.985 billion, climbing from the P24.51 billion recorded at the previous offering.
Broken down, the government borrowed P4 billion as planned via the 91-day T-bills last week as bids amounted to P5.936 billion. The average rate rose just 2.7 basis points (bp) to 4.979% from the 4.952% logged in the previous auction.
The Treasury also made a full award of the 182-day papers, accepting P5 billion as planned out of offers totalling P7.534 billion. The average yield likewise rose 10 bps to 6.159% from 6.059%.
For the 364-day T-bills, the BTr borrowed the programmed P6 billion out of the P13.515 billion tendered by banks. Strong demand caused the average rate to slide 7.9 bps to 6.41% from the 6.489% tallied in the previous offering.
Another trader said by phone that the 10-year T-bond’s rate tomorrow “will likely move sideways, or if higher, it would be modest, as they await the inflation and GDP (gross domestic product) data, but the consensus is that the rise in prices may have plateaued and that the third quarter growth will likely accelerate from the previous quarter.”
A BusinessWorld poll of 15 economists bared a median inflation estimate of 6.7% for October, which if realized would be steady from September’s print — signalling that inflation may have already peaked.
The median also sits within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Department of Economic Research’s 6.2-7% forecast range.
A separate poll of the same economists showed a median forecast of 6.3% for the country’s third-quarter economic growth, faster than the 6% recorded in the second quarter but slower than the 7% in the July-September period in 2017.
Moreover, the first trader said yields on the shorter-dated T-bills will continue to see higher rates, although at a moderate pace.
“The T-bills is possibly unchanged, or about 10 basis points higher, which was tamed compared to previous weeks,” the trader said.
At the secondary market last week, the three-month, six-month and one-year T-bills were quoted at 5.098%, 5.915% and 6.564%, respectively, based on the PHP Bloomberg Valuation Service Reference Rates published on the Philippine Dealing System’s website. Meanwhile, the 10-year T-bonds fetched 8.014%.
The Treasury is raising P270 billion from the domestic market this quarter through auctions of securities, offering P180 billion in T-bills and another P90 billion in T-bonds. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

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