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UnionBank using blockchain for more processes

UNION BANK of the Philippines, Inc. has adopted blockchain in more internal processes to cut operational costs and further learn the technology.
UnionBank President and Chief Executive Officer Edwin R. Bautista said last week that the Aboitiz-led lender has launched “several” internal blockchain applications.
“In operations, we already launched several internal blockchain applications. The goal is to put blockchain as much as we can in the internal process,” Mr. Bautista told reporters during the Philippine Investment Forum in Taguig City on Wednesday.
Blockchain is a distributed data ledger which involves a large network of entities where data is stored in “blocks.” The storage units are continuously updated and being secured using cryptography, making data management and data-driven processes decentralized, tamper-proof and more transparent.
Mr. Bautista added the bank intends to “blockchainize” more internal processes to reduce operational costs.
“We want to reduce our costs. At the same time, it also helps us learn the technology that we can now apply for customers,” UnionBank’s chief executive noted.
In a previous press briefing, Mr. Bautista said “many” of its more than 700 internal processes are right for conversion into blockchain such as check clearing, account opening and funds transfer, among others.
UnionBank started to adopt the technology in its internal processes by putting its general circulars and operating manuals into the blockchain, enabling the more efficient distribution of the materials to bank employees.
Aside from this, the bank launched last quarter a clearing system that connects rural banks through blockchain technology. Dubbed as Project i2i, the clearing system streamlines bank processes like inter-bank funds transfer, financial and accounting reports, remittance, know-your-customer process and branch locating.
UnionBank booked a net income of P1.78 billion in the second quarter, down 17.2% year-on-year, on the back of lower miscellaneous income.
The bank is set to offer up to 200 million common shares via a stock rights offering in September to support expansion.
Shares in UnionBank closed at P83.90 each on Friday, down 10 centavos or 0.12%. — K.A.N. Vidal

How Magnolia Bakery ended up in Manila

By Cathy Rose A. Garcia, Associate Editor
FROM A small corner in New York City’s West Village, Magnolia Bakery is expanding not just in the United States but around the world, including the Philippines.
Magnolia Bakery first opened in 1996, offering classic American baked goods. Its popularity soared when its cupcakes were featured on Sex and the City, and until now a “Carrie” cupcake — vanilla cake with pink buttercream and small daisy flower on top — remains on the menu.
Filipinos can soon try these cupcakes, as well as its best-selling banana pudding, when the local franchise M Bakery opens on August 22 in Bonifacio Global City.
It was a common love of banana pudding that prompted business partners Stewart Lee Ong and Candy Lu to bring Magnolia Bakery to the Philippines.
“Magnolia has always been one of my favorites. Whenever I go to New York, literally every day I would go and buy banana pudding, and then bring some home to my parents, siblings. It’s really something that I love, so I thought it would be good to bring it here. It also goes well with the Philippine culture since we end our meals with desserts and we celebrate occasions with cakes . . . It is a perfect match for Filipino culture,” Mr. Ong said in an interview on Aug. 8.
Initial talks with Magnolia Bakery started three years ago, after which Phil Jacobe Ventures Inc. was awarded the master franchise for Magnolia Bakery in the Philippines.
“I wouldn’t say it was hard, but it wasn’t easy. Magnolia Bakery is also very choosy and particular in choosing who to collaborate with in markets. It’s been a good and healthy relationship with them from the start,” the managing partner at Phil Jacobe Ventures said.
Erick Larios, director of franchise operations at Magnolia Bakery, said the US company was looking for franchise partners that share its vision, have experience in food and beverage industry, and a love and passion for the brand.
“One of the things that Stewart and his group really brought to the team is they’ve loved the brand before they were interested in the brand… We always look for a partner who has a good sense of the market and good understanding of what the (local) culture is coming to expect, to make sure it’s a good relationship and a good fit for us,” he told BusinessWorld.
The Wall Street Journal reported in May that Magnolia Bakery is targeting to add “as many as 200 franchisees across the US over the next five years.” It currently has 26 locations — nine in the United States and 17 overseas.
The Philippines will be its 18th international location, and its first in Southeast Asia.
Asked why the “Magnolia” was dropped for the bakery’s name here, Mr. Ong said they wanted to be “extra prudent” since some Filipinos may associate it with another Philippine brand with the same name.
“When we did our research, Magnolia Bakery is already popular among Filipinos, especially those who have tried it in New York . . . We felt using a single letter like M would trigger faster memory recall, as well as resonate well with Filipino millennials. Plus for Filipinos who may not be familiar with the Magnolia brand, we wanted to be extra prudent that they wouldn’t associate it with other Filipino entities,” he said.
PRICING
Unlike other bakeries that have commissaries, M Bakery makes all its products fresh-from-scratch at its kitchen on the store premises.
“Their concept is baking fresh in small batches in the bakery itself. When you bake them outright, everything is fresh and made from scratch . . . It entices customers to come in a taste the product. The aroma entices you to eat,” Ms. Lu, who is also a pastry chef, told BusinessWorld.
Ms. Lu had to go undergo training at Magnolia Bakery in New York City, while staff from New York are currently in Manila to supervise the store’s opening.
M Bakery offers a wide variety of cupcakes, cookies, cheesecakes, cakes and banana pudding.
“We went through a rigorous process of ingredient sourcing and testing. Magnolia Bakery wouldn’t allow that the taste is different from New York and other parts of the world. The banana pudding and cupcake that you have in New York will taste the same as the one in Metro Manila,” Mr. Ong said.
While the taste is the same, the prices are surprisingly a little lower. Classic cupcakes at M Bakery start at P120, while a Magnolia cupcake in the US costs around $3.95 (around P200). A large tub of banana pudding is priced roughly the same as the US at P375.
“We wanted to make sure we don’t compromise on the quality and ingredients. But we had to balance it to make sure the price is accessible for Filipinos. If we price it too high, not everyone will be able to afford it and try. It’s a good balancing act between quality and affordability,” Mr. Ong said.
Located in One Bonifacio High Street, M Bakery is expected to attract young urban professionals, moms, foodies and expats.
Mr. Ong said Bonifacio Global City is the “perfect” place to open the bakery.
“Our target market is yuppies and moms. There’s also a good expat community here, given there are international schools around and many multinationals. It’s a perfect place to set up the flagship store,” he said.
For Mr. Larios, Manila’s foodie culture is also a big factor why he believes M Bakery will be a success here.
“You can feel a trendy, ‘up-and-coming-ness’ to Manila, in the BGC area. I think this is a very good first location for us, the demographic. The products we offer, it’s a wide variety. We don’t just do cupcakes, but different categories that appeal to different taste profiles,” he said.
Even before M Bakery opens, Mr. Ong said they plan to open one or two more stores by next year.

USDA boosts forecast for 2018/19 sugar crops

THE U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) on Friday upped its outlook for sugar supplies in 2018/19 amid higher production of both beet and cane.
The closely watched stocks-to-use ratio stood at 18.1 for the marketing year that begins Oct. 1, versus a previous forecast of 13.5 and 16.9 in the previous season, according to the monthly USDA report.
Total U.S. sugar production will reach 9.088 million tons (8.24 million tonnes) in 2018/19, nearing last year’s record of 9.26 million tons, the USDA said.
The agency’s import forecast for 2018/19 was unchanged at 3.56 million tons, versus an estimate for 2017/18 of 3.39 million tonnes. — Reuters

UNIQLO releases new blouse and bra collections


JAPANESE global apparel retailer, UNIQLO, has introduced this season’s women’s blouses and wireless bra collections featuring versatile pieces to fit the lifestyles of Filipinas.
It has released a refreshed range of blouses with updated silhouettes and colors. Highlights for the season are the extra fine cotton and rayon blouses that adapt to any occasion or location.
Being a one-stop shop for fashion must-haves, UNIQLO also introduces its wireless bras: Beauty Light, Beauty Light Multi-Way, Beauty Soft, and Relax.
Both collections feature items designed with high-quality materials to accommodate Filipino women’s dynamic and multi-faceted lifestyles.

Debt yields end week flat

DEBT YIELDS ended flat last week following a 50-basis-point (bp) rate hike by the central bank, even as July inflation breached the official target and economic growth fell below expectations.
Prices of government securities (GS) inched upwards as yields dropped by an average of 1.84 bps week on week, data from the Philippine Dealing & Exchange Corp. as of Aug. 10 showed.
“GS yields moved sideways [last] week,” said Guian Angelo S. Dumalagan, market economist at Land Bank of the Philippines (LANDBANK). “[I]nflation exceeded market estimates, leading the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to hike rates by 50 bps.”
“While expectations of another rate hike from the BSP pushed yields higher last Thursday, the increase in yields was not sustained due to the country’s weaker-than-expected gross domestic product (GDP) growth in second quarter of 2018,” he added.
For Carlyn Therese X. Dulay, first vice-president and head of institutional sales at Security Bank Corp.: “Market was flat to slightly higher on the liquid GS this week on the back of a 50-basis point hike in overnight rate by the Monetary Board (MB) on Thursday, consistent with market consensus.”
“The latest hike brings the overnight rate to 4%, with a chance that further movement will be done in the next MB meeting in September,” added Ms. Dulay.
Michael L. Ricafort, economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. (RCBC), concurred: “Most yields eased last Friday, a day after the [50-bp] policy rate hike and also a day after the weaker-than-expected GDP growth of 6%…”
Mr. Ricafort said the tightening is “seen to help stabilize inflation and inflation expectations” and that the BSP has also signalled readiness for further policy action “as needed” in order to keep price growth within the 2-4% target.
In a report last week, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said consumer prices rose 5.7% in July, faster than 5.2% headline print in June and 2.7% logged in July last year. It has picked up for the seventh consecutive month on a year-on-year basis.
On Thursday, the MB decided to raise policy rates by 50 basis points, its third consecutive tightening move this year amid efforts to curb inflation which has been piercing the central bank target for five months straight.
Rates now stand at 4.5% for overnight lending, 4% for overnight reverse repurchasing and 3.5% for the overnight deposits.
At the same time, the government reported that the economy grew 6% in the second quarter, lower than the 6.6% recorded in the first quarter and the same period in 2017.
Growth was slowest in three years, falling short of the 7-8% target by the government and was also below 6.8% market expectations. For the first half, the economy grew by 6.3%.
At the secondary market on Friday, yields went down across all tenors except for the five-year which gained 23.27 bps to 6.1375%.
For those at the short end, the 91-, 182- and 364-day Treasury yields lost 5.50 bps, 8.03 bps and 1.13 bps, respectively, finishing with 3.1859%, 4.1211% and 4.8572%.
At the belly, the yields on the two-, three-, four-, and seven-year Treasury bonds (T-bonds) were down by 9.80 bps (4.9476%), 6.07 bps (5.0613%), 1.96 bps (5.9643%), and 0.83 bp (6.2250%), respectively.
At the long end, the 10- and 20-year T-bonds decreased by 2.50 bps and 5.89 bps, respectively, to yield 6.425% and 7.4161%.
Going forward, LANDBANK’s Mr. Dumalagan said that majority of local and foreign economic data are still pointing to higher GS yields.
“US and Eurozone inflation data are expected to show upbeat readings, supporting views of tighter monetary policy settings ahead. The increase in yields might be capped by lingering geopolitical tensions abroad.”
RCBC’s Mr. Ricafort expects yields to continue moving “slightly lower” this week.
“[I]f the peso exchange rate continues to stabilize among the best levels in 2 months, amid the recent decline in global crude oil prices at near 2-month lows and the resulting slight declines in US government bond yields recently, as the trade war between the US and China could slow down both global economic growth and inflation,” he said.
For Security Bank’s Ms. Dulay: “Next week, market will remain range bound at current levels, dependent on the auctions of both Treasury bills and a 5-year FXTN (fixed-rate Treasury note) reissuance, though there should be more liquidity flowing into the system with the FXTN 7-51 maturity on August 18. US CPI (consumer price index) and risk headlines are also due out Friday evening.” — Lourdes O. Pilar

Drought slashes EU wheat output, reducing region’s export surplus

HAMBURG — Drought and a heatwave that scorched fields in northern Europe may cut the European Union’s wheat export surplus and the bloc will need to consume more of its own grains, experts said on Friday.
French analysts Strategie Grains forecast a 10 % smaller EU soft wheat harvest this year, with northern areas particularly hard hit. EU wheat prices have hit over five-year highs on crop concerns.
“Wheat exporters like Germany and Scandinavia may need imports from the rest of the EU this year, especially for animal feed wheat,” one German trader said. “The terrible harvest in north Europe is good news for rival wheat exporters like Russia, Ukraine and the United States.”
Some wheat from EU Black Sea exporters such as Romania is likely to stay in Europe rather than being shipped to the Middle East, the trader said.
In Germany, the EU’s second-largest producer, the winter wheat crop is expected to fall 19.9 % on the year to 19.2 million tonnes after the highest July temperatures since records began in 1881. Harvesting is finishing.
“Germany is usually one of the EU’s biggest wheat exporters but will swing to an importer this season especially for animal feed,” another German trader said. “About 800,000 tonnes of feed wheat have already been bought, mostly from Romania and Bulgaria, and I think more could be bought.”
In France, the EU’s largest producer, harvesting is over. Torrential rain and heatwaves are expected to have cut the crop, although damage was seen as less severe than in northern Europe.
Crop estimates are generally between 33 and 35 million tonnes, down from 36.6 million last year, while milling quality was generally good.
Quality results showed decent protein content, averaging above 11.5 %, and test weights generally above milling requirements despite some mixed readings linked to heavy rain, agency FranceAgriMer said.
Poland’s crop will fall about 12 % to roughly 9.9 million tonnes, Wojtek Sabaranski of analysts Sparks Polska said. Harvesting is well advanced but crop quality varies greatly, Sabaranski said.
Britain’s winter wheat harvest was nearly 60 % complete on Aug. 7, well ahead of normal, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board said.
Trade estimates for the UK wheat harvest range between 13.5 million and 14.0 million tonnes, down from 14.8 million last season.
“There have been no real issues with grain quality and the clear dry conditions during harvest mean that crops have been harvested when ripe, with no weather delays,” the board said. — Reuters

How PSEi member stocks performed — August 10, 2018

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Friday, August 10, 2018.

 
Philippine Stock Exchange’s most active stocks by volume turnover — August 3-10, 2018
(Closing price as of August 10,2018)

Shares may decline after inflation, GDP reports

LOCAL SHARES may trek lower in the days head as investors digest inflation and economic growth figures released last week.
The bellwether Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) slipped 0.2% or 15.73 points to close at 7,804.98 on Friday, ending 0.18% lower on a weekly basis. The main index traded mostly in negative territory, managing to stage a positive finish only on Wednesday during the five-day trading week.
Among the sectors that gained for the week were property (up 3.22%) and services (up 2.03%), while holding firms and financials dropped 1.62% and 1.6%, respectively. Foreigners were net sellers at P64.4 million.
“The PSEi is currently up 1.7% for the month and after trading sideways last week, there is strong indication that we will be seeing a pullback [this] week… Investors will be factoring in the disappointing economic numbers that came in last week that exceeded most analysts’ expectations,” Eagle Equities, Inc. Research Head Christopher John Mangun said in a weekly market report.
The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Tuesday that inflation accelerated to 5.7% in July, higher than June’s 5.2% and the fastest in more than five years. Year to date, inflation is now at 4.5%, well beyond the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) 2-4% target.
Last week also saw the release of latest economic growth data which showed that the Philippine economy, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP), grew by 6% in the second quarter of 2018. This is the slowest pace since the second quarter of 2015, when GDP expanded by 5.6%.
Online brokerage 2TradeAsia.com highlighted that household spending, which accounts for 60% of GDP, slowed to 0.2% in the second quarter of 2018 compared to 6.3% in the same period a year ago.
It noted, however, that same- store sales growth (SSSG) of listed retailers show otherwise, referring to the SSSG of Robinsons Retail Holdings, Inc., Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc., and the SM malls at 8.6%, 5%, and 8%, respectively.
“As such, the lagged effect might be visible for the remaining quarters, as consumers & investors alike, adjust to the initial phase of the tax reform (TRAIN),” 2TradeAsia.com said in a weekly market note.
For the first half of the year, GDP growth is now at 6.3%, also below the government’s target band of 7-8% for the year. Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said the economy would have to grow by at least 7.7% in the second half to reach the low end of the government’s target.
Meanwhile, the BSP last week hiked interest rates by 50 basis points, marking the third consecutive tightening move by the Monetary Board this year in a bid to temper inflation. Benchmark interest rates now range from 3.5%-4.5%.
“Majority of well-run listed firms have proper risk management governance that should be able to absorb any sequel changes that might take place,” 2TradeAsia.com said.
Mr. Mangun placed the PSEi’s support from 7,530 to 7,660, with resistance from 7,880 to 7,960. — Arra B. Francia

Trade in an old watch (plus a bit of cash) for a new one

TECHNOMARINE is running the “No Time To Wait Tour” that will let customers trade in a pre-owned wrist watch — of any brand so long as they are in working condition — for a TechnoMarine watch at a 40% discount in participating branches. The “No Time To Wait Tour” will next be held at the following branches and dates: Aug. 18 at TriNoma Mall in Quezon City; Aug. 19 at SM North EDSA Main Wing in Quezon City; Aug. 25 at SM Mall of Asia in Pasay City; and on Aug. 26 t SM Megamall. The trade in is time bound and will only be offered between 1 to 6 p.m. in each stop. For more information, follow @TechnoMarinePH in Facebook and Instagram. The photo shows TechnoMarine’ Cruise JellyFish 44 mm black dial and silicone strap watch (L) and the Ocean Manta 48 mm black dial and silicone strap watch (R).

Peso seen mixed after rate move

THE PESO will likely move sideways against the dollar this week ahead of likely mixed economic data in the United States and following the policy rate adjustment by the local central bank.
On Friday, the local unit closed at P53.135 versus the greenback, 4.5 centavos down from Thursday’s P53.09 finish, as investors awaited US inflation readings. Week on week, the peso strengthened from the P53.15 finish on Aug. 3.
On Friday, a trader said the peso may move sideways with a downward bias at the start of the week following the stronger-than-expected US inflation reports.
Reuters reported that consumer prices in the US rose in July as it points to a steady rise in inflation pressures that keeps the Federal Reserve on track to gradually hike interest rates.
Consumer price index (CPI) increased 2.9% in the 12 months through July, matching the increase in June.
Guian Angelo S. Dumalagan, market economist at Land Bank of the Philippines, said the dollar may also benefit from the “alarming decline” of Turkish lira.
“The said currency has been battered recently due to Turkey’s large fiscal stimulus, growing inflation and current account deficit, as well as political intervention on central bank decisions,” Mr. Dumalagan said in an e-mail on Saturday.
Meanwhile, the peso is seen to strengthen against the dollar mid-week on the back of “likely mixed” US economic reports.
“US retail sales and industrial production reports for July 2018 are expected to come out softer, affirming views that the Federal Reserve would continue to normalize policy rates gradually, even as it remains on track to hiking rates two more times this year,” he said.
He added that the unchanged expectations on the normalization of interest rates, combined with the “strong follow-through” by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, should help the peso recoup some of its strength.
The central bank raised its interest rates anew on Thursday by 50 basis points to quell inflation expectations. Rates now stand at a 3.5-4.5% range.
On Friday, the market economist noted that the peso-dollar pair might move sideways again amid likely strong US housing reports.
“US economic reports for July 2018 on building permits and housing starts are expected to show stronger readings, allowing the dollar to potentially stage some upward correction,” Mr. Dumalagan said, adding that market cautiousness ahead of a likely strong Eurozone inflation report may cap the dollar’s strength.
For this week, Mr. Dumalagan sees the peso moving between P52.75 and P53.35 versus the dollar, while the trader expects a P53.05-P53.25 range on Monday. — K.A.N. Vidal

Which economies are business leaders most optimistic about? (Q2 2018)

Which economies are business leaders most optimistic about?

Gov’t revenue as share of GDP hits record levels; deficit below target

GOVERNMENT revenue as a proportion of the economy rose in the first half as tax reform provided more fiscal space for spending, but the budget deficit remained below target.
In an economic bulletin over the weekend, the Department of Finance (DoF) said that the fiscal deficit was 2.34% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the first half, below the 3% ceiling the government is planning for 2018.
Revenue effort grew 1.47 percentage points year-on-year to 17.12% in the first half.
It also grew from 15.82% in the first quarter.
The DoF said this level was the “highest ever achieved during the first semester.”
Tax effort, or collections as a proportion of the economy, rose 1.01 percentage points year-on-year to 15.23% in the first half, and from 14.47% in the first three months of the year.
“Almost a half or 0.4 percentage point is due to TRAIN (the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion law) and the rest or 0.61 percentage points due to tax administration improvements,” according to the economic bulletin.
The Bureau of Internal Revenue had a 11.71% tax effort, up from 11.28% a year earlier, and the Bureau of Customs came in at 3.39%, from 2.80%.
Other agencies’ tax effort fell to 0.13% from 0.14%.
Non-tax revenue effort grew to 1.89% during the period from 1.43%.
On the expenditure side, the DoF said that disbursement effort rose 1.77 percentage points year-on-year to 19.47% in the first six months, noting that this level was the “highest first semester expenditure effort since 2003, thus boosting its contribution to GDP growth.”
“Fiscal space expanded by TRAIN 1 and tax administration (improvements) enabled government to boost investment and growth in the first semester,” the DoF said.
“In the first semester of 2018, NG (national government) capital outlays expanded by 42.4% in nominal terms, boosting GDP growth by almost a percentage point while government current expenditures rose 26.6%, contributing an incremental 1.16 percentage points to growth,” it added.
Nominal GDP growth was 9.6% in the first semester, according to the DoF.
“Strong macroeconomic fundamentals backed by tax reform and the Build, Build, Build program will continue to boost economic growth as the competitiveness of the economy rises and more jobs are created,” the DoF said in its economic bulletin. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan