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PHL tariff revenue losses from RCEP deal expected to be mild

THE GOVERNMENT is expected to forego tariff revenue of over $58 million a year from the 15-country Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) trade deal, among the smallest projected losses in the region, Boston University (BU) said, citing the findings of a study.

These losses are milder than the foregone revenue to be experienced by other ASEAN countries. The trade pact binds all 10 ASEAN countries and major trade partners and was signed in November.

“Simulation for tariff liberalization under RCEP shows that tariff revenue loss post-RCEP will be highest for Malaysia, which will lose around $2.1 billion per annum, followed by Thailand with tariff revenue loss of $800 million,” BU said.

According to the working paper RCEP: Goods Market Access Implications for ASEAN published this month, Cambodia and Vietnam will sustain tariff revenue losses of $334 million and $192 million per year, respectively.

Developing countries are facing health and economic threats due to the pandemic, the report said, adding that it is now important for the economies to revisit trade policies.

“Tariffs are the most simple and efficient tools in the hands of the governments for raising financial resources at the times of crisis, protecting valuable domestic financial resources from being wasted on imports of luxury items, protecting domestic firms from unreasonable competition, and protecting the livelihoods of their citizens.”

The report said that the balance of trade will deteriorate for ASEAN countries, but will improve for countries like Japan and New Zealand.

“The reason for deterioration of BoT (balance of trade) of most of the ASEAN countries is trade diversion within the RCEP group towards more efficient exporters which adversely impacts the existing exports of ASEAN countries. This will lead to a decline in intra-ASEAN trade as ASEAN countries import from more efficient exporters like China instead of other ASEAN countries,” BU said.

The percentage change in balance of trade for the Philippines post-RCEP is a 1.1% decline, equivalent to $260 million each year. ASEAN countries in total stand to lose $8.5 billion each year in their goods trade balance post-RCEP.

Imports to the Philippines will increase by more than $148 million each year. In ASEAN, the largest increase will be seen in Malaysia and Cambodia at $3.7 billion and $2.3 billion, respectively.

“Around half of the increase in imports of Malaysia, Myanmar and Philippines post-RCEP will be from China,” BU said, adding that the Philippines will experience a fall in imports from all ASEAN countries but higher imports from China and South Korea in products like arms and ammunition and electrical equipment.

Philippine exports to RCEP countries are also expected to fall, because of “trade diversion in favor of more efficient exporters within the RCEP.”

The study was conducted by United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) Senior Economic Affairs Officer Rashmi Banga, UNCTAD Consultant Prerna Sharma, and BU Professor of Global Development Policy Kevin P. Gallagher.

According to the Trade department, the bulk of imports under RCEP are raw materials and intermediate goods, which Philippine manufacturers will be able to buy at cheaper rates.

The department has been promoting the deal as an export market access advantage for the country’s exports in garments, automotive parts, and agricultural products such as canned food and preserved fruit. — Jenina P. Ibañez

WFH staff seen at 34% of workforce by 2023

FULL-TIME EMPLOYEES working from home are expected to account for 34% of the workforce by 2023 compared to 3% in 2017, triggering real estate spending cuts and generating transport savings, according to advisory firm Willis Towers Watson, citing the results of a survey.

The survey, conducted in October and November, found that the pandemic pushed Philippine employers “to consider remote work and other flexible work arrangements. This practice will most likely continue as part of the new normal as companies realize that flexible work arrangements play a significant role in employee productivity and engagement,” Willis Towers Watson Philippines Head of Talent and Rewards Patrick Marquina said in a statement Monday.

The company surveyed 434 Asia Pacific organizations, including 47 Philippine firms.

Around 95% of the Philippine companies said that employee safety concerns motivated the shift to alternative work arrangements. With 35% using flexitime, 66% of companies said flexibility promotes employee retention.

Almost half of the companies said that savings will come from real estate, while a third expect savings from expenses connected to work commutes.

“Some of these savings are being channeled to facilitate the necessary changes to the companies’ total rewards programs, such as equipping employees to work from home or for the health and wellbeing programs to support employees in a more agile and flexible workplace in the future,” Willis Towers Watson said.

But the survey also found that three out of five respondents believe flexible work will not impact overall pay budgets, although almost half said new requirements will require a “hybrid” model for pay and rewards.

Companies have also not fully adapted to alternative work arrangements, with almost a fifth saying that they do not have policies to manage flexible work. Two thirds created a formal policy just last year.

The survey also found that 30% of firms have an integrated digital and business strategy.

“An integrated work strategy supported by technology and strong digital capability will enable companies to maximize the full potential of emerging work arrangements,” Mr. Marquina said.

“Employers now need to take a step back and examine the future state of their organization overall and decide how they can make the most of their new agile workforce.” — Jenina P. Ibañez

Cavite to allow Sangley airport JV to co-own reclaimed part of project

CAVITE PROVINCE will allow its future joint venture (JV) partner for the Sangley Point International Airport to co-own portions of commercial land that will be created by reclamation.

Foreign ownership of land will remain restricted, however, because the province will now require its JV partner to be 51% Filipino-owned or controlled.

“As a result of a policy decision by the province in response to the national security issues that have been raised, it is now required that the JV partner, whether it is a single entity or a consortium, is Filipino-majority owned and controlled,” Sol Castro, Cavite government’s consultant for the project, said at the Pre-Bid/JV Selection Conference held on March 18. A video of the conference has been posted on the province’s official Facebook page.

Lucio C. Tan’s MacroAsia Corp. only had a 40% stake in a previous consortium that negotiated with the province for the airport project, while its foreign partner China Communications Construction Co. Ltd. (CCCC) had a 60% stake.

“The land arrangements are still pretty much the same, which means that land use rights will be made available by the province to the JV partner, or to the airport company. But if you look at the land arrangements under the joint venture development agreement, there are material changes, and these changes I think will benefit the JV partner and the airport company, because it gives the company more flexibility in determining whether it wants to co-own a portion of the commercial land that will be created or that will be formed as a result of the land reclamation,” Mr. Castro added.

Mr. Castro also said that the option to co-own portions of the reclaimed land is “essential” to the project when raising debt financing.

“If (land ownership) is a requirement of the lenders, then it will be considered by the province,” he noted.

He said the 51% Filipino ownership requirement is not enough for a consortium or a private entity to qualify to own land in the country.

“You need to bring that up to 60% to own land in the Philippines,” Mr. Castro added.

“If these conditions are not met, then the province will have title over the land, and the JV partner and the airport company will eventually have perpetual use of the land.”

Under the joint venture development agreement, the JV partner will co-develop and co-own the project with the province. Cavite’s key equity contribution will be in the form of land use rights.

“On the part of the JV partner, its key obligation, which translates to a right as a result, will be to provide the equity investment and raise debt financing. On the basis of these contributions, that will reflect on the ownership of the airport company,” Mr. Castro added.

The airport company is to be created after both parties reach a final investment decision.

“The airport company will be the developer and owner, and it will decide as well on how it will have this new international airport operated, whether it would want to operate that on its own or whether it would grant a concession for the O&M (operation and maintenance) of this airport,” Mr. Castro said.

Cavite’s Public-Private Partnership Selection Committee Legal Officer Jesse R. Grepo said “two companies” have expressed interest in the project “as of March 18.”

The JV partner, according to Mr. Castro, must have developed and built at least one international airport, with a minimum handling capacity of 12.5 million passengers per annum, and at least one land reclamation project — both in the last 20 years.

“The financial qualification requirement that the JV partner must have is a current net worth or a combined net worth, in the case of a consortium, of at least $1.6 billion or roughly around P80 billion,” he said.

The Cavite government has set a May 4 deadline for the submission of proposals.

The province hopes to sign the joint venture and development agreement on or after July 1 this year.

In 2019, only the MacroAsia-CCCC JV submitted a proposal to develop Sangley airport. Other groups that bought bid documents for the project were Metro Pacific Investments Corp.; Prime Asset Ventures, Inc.; Philippine Airport Ground Support Solutions, Inc.; Langham Properties, Inc.; and Mosveldtt Law Offices.

Cavite informed the MacroAsia-CCCC tandem on Jan. 26 of its decision to cancel the notice of selection and award for the Sangley airport project it had issued on Feb. 12, 2020.

Cavite Governor Juanito Victor C. Remulla, Jr. said the “various deficiencies in the submission of requirements to conclude the joint venture agreement” led to the province’s decision. — Arjay L. Balinbin

Surge in PHL infection case count heightens recession risk

THE RISK of recession for the Philippines has risen due to the surging COVID-19 case count, making it likely to be among the worst-performing economies in ASEAN in the first half of 2021, Moody’s Analytics said.

“With additional targeted lockdowns and foreign travel bans imposed recently, the prospects for improved consumer spending and tourism remain gloomy and employment gains in the upcoming months will be limited,” Moody’s Analytics Associate Economist Dave Chia said in a note Monday.

Earlier this month, Moody’s Analytics said it expects the economy to grow 6.3% this year mainly due to base effects from a record 9.5% contraction last year which was the worst in ASEAN.

“We maintain our outlook that the Philippines will be one of the worst-performing economies in Southeast Asia, at least for the first half of 2021,” it said. 

The financial intelligence unit of Moody’s Investors Service said the Philippines is now a laggard in the region in terms of managing the outbreak. It noted that while the Philippines had to impose restrictions again due to the rise in infections, Japan and South Korea are reporting receding case numbers.

The government has placed Metro Manila, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, and Rizal under the strictest quarantine settings due to the higher case count. The measures are in place between March 29 and April 4.

TOURISM RECOVERY HINGES ON VIRUS MANAGEMENT
The slow pace of vaccination and the increasing infections are threatening the recovery of the tourism industry and could lead travelers to opt for other destinations which they perceive to be safer, analysts said.

“The Philippines will be unable to capitalize on the rebound in tourism if it cannot provide a safe environment for tourists — they will be diverted to other places in Asia if there are persistent questions surrounding safety and flight and accommodation cancellations due to a possible new wave of infections around the corner,” Xiao Chun Xu, assistant director — economist at Moody’s Analytics, told BusinessWorld by e-mail.

Mr. Xu said the Philippines is faring worse than Vietnam and Thailand in terms of handling the crisis and ensuring a tourism industry recovery. He cited Thailand’s effort to negotiate travel bubbles, putting it in the best position to capitalize on the industry’s recovery.

Asian Institute of Management Economist John Paolo R. Rivera said the hospitality industry has been supported by the so-called “staycation” trade, while some open-air sites like Intramuros and parks have opened to the public. Some of these reopenings proved to be short-lived as quarantines were reimposed.

“Given the latest restrictions, the first whose recovery process has been affected are those in the food and beverage sectors as dine-in has been suspended again,” Mr. Rivera said.

Aside from ensuring herd immunity to boost demand, Mr. Rivera said it would be crucial for the government to help the tourism industry build the capacity to tap alternative sources of income.

“It’s all about building trust and confidence among tourists that the Philippines is a safe destination beyond minimum health standards,” he added.

Moody’s Analytics said speeding up the vaccination drive will be key to improving the consumption-driven economy.

“As consumption is a major component of the country’s economic activities, curbing the spread of coronavirus and vaccination are key to its economic recovery,” Moody’s Analytics said.

The Department of Health has reported that 508,332 doses have been administered as of March 23. The government is hoping to inoculate 70 million people by the end of 2021. — Luz Wendy T. Noble

Causes of recent inflation uptick ‘transitory,’ BSP says

THE FACTORS behind the recent uptick in inflation are “transitory,” such as the tightening of the pork supply, but do not indicate the economy to be on a path to reflation, the central bank said.

“Reflation is the act of bringing inflation from very low levels back up to its long-term trend after a period of disinflation and economic downturn. This is not the case,” Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin E. Diokno said in an online briefing Thursday.

He said reflation happens when price levels recover after having fallen below their long-term historical average.

Inflation rose to 4.7% in February, exceeding the 2-4% target and the highest level since the 5.1% recorded in December 2018. Food prices surged due to supply disruptions caused by November typhoons and the African Swine Fever outbreak.

“The current uptick in inflation in the Philippines is supply-side and temporary in nature. Accordingly, it requires mainly non-monetary responses such as measures to address domestic food supply concerns,” Mr. Diokno said.

In a note, Moody’s Analytics said demand-pull inflation will likely remain weak until June. Still, it said the situation remains a matter of concern.

“Elevated inflation, a large output gap, a recent resurgence of COVID-19 infections, and limited vaccine availability are all reasons for concern,” Moody’s Analytics said on Monday.

Mr. Diokno said that while non-monetary measures are in place to address the supply-side inflation uptick, he said the central bank will remain accommodative while also watching out for signs for second-round effects such as a clamor for higher wages and higher transport fares.

The central bank expects headline inflation to average 4.2% this year before easing to 2.8% by 2022, factoring in a recovery in oil demand as well as higher food prices.

On Thursday, the Monetary Board maintained its key policy rate at 2% to help support the economic recovery. — Luz Wendy T. Noble

Plastic bag excise tax seen impacting workers, consumers most

WORKERS and consumers are expected to bear the brunt of a proposed P20 tax on plastic carrier bags by weight, a major union said.

Alan T. Tanjusay, spokesman and policy advocacy officer for the Associated Labor Unions-Trade Union Congress of the Philippines, said that the proposed tax, if signed into law, will cause plastic carrier bag manufacturers to pass on the extra costs to consumers or downsize operations.

“If enacted as is, plastics manufacturers will either raise the cost of the plastic and pass the burden to consumers or will cease to manufacture and downsize,” Mr. Tanjusay told BusinessWorld in an e-mail on March 24.

The House Committee on Ways and Means approved an unnumbered substitute bill that will collect a P20 excise tax per kilogram of plastic carrier bags removed from the place of production. The panel is chaired by Representative Jose Ma. Clemente S. Salceda.

Mr. Tanjusay said the substitute bill “failed to justify and articulate why plastic carrier bags are being singled out with an excise tax.”

“We all get the impression that the bill will… (kill) the industry and cut jobs,” he added.

The Federation of Philippine Industries (FPI) described the measure as “discriminatory.”

“Why should we single out plastic bags when any carrier bags could also be potential waste items, and unrecyclable? If the spirit for bill is anchored on the premise that it will reduce waste significantly, then it is indeed discriminatory,” FPI told BusinessWorld in an e-mail Monday.

In a separate e-mail on March 24, the FPI said that the measure was also “anti-poor,” since it will lead customers to buy other types of carrier bags at higher prices.

According to the substitute bill, all revenue from the excise tax will be used to support the solid waste management programs of local government units.

An earlier version of the bill, House Bill 178, which sought a P10 excise tax on plastic carrier bags, was approved by the House Committee on Appropriations. — Angelica Y. Yang

PHL accepts mediated process to resolve Thai trade dispute

THE PHILIPPINES agreed to a mediated process to resolve a 13-year trade dispute with Thailand.

The Philippines first complained in 2008 of Thailand’s customs valuation of Philippine cigarette exports. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has since ruled in favor of the Philippines.

The Trade department has been requesting authorization from the WTO to suspend tariff concessions on Thai exports to the Philippines, in retaliation against Thailand for non-compliance with the international organization’s ruling. The Philippines has initiated domestic procedures, with the Tariff Commission in January conducting a public hearing in which it presented 112 proposed product lines on which concessions could be suspended.

In a news conference Thursday, Trade Undersecretary Ceferino S. Rodolfo said that the Philippines agreed to a time-bound process in Geneva to come up with a “comprehensive solution.”

Gusto natin time-bound ‘yun. (We want a time limit on talks) After a specific date, tama na (it should end). Kung wala pa rin (If there is no result), we go back to the dispute settlement body. We have to make sure that Thailand understands that at any time, we can trigger the process for suspension of concessions. Kaya domestic process, tumatakbo na (that is why our domestic process is moving forward,” he said.

“The Philippines remains ready, following WTO rules and procedures, to initiate the process for suspension of concessions. In particular the domestic processes for this — for instance the Tariff Commission had already undertaken public consultations on the coverage of products or tariff lines which may be subject to a suspension of concessions should a need arise.”

Any point of engagement with Thailand on this matter will be considered progress, Mr. Rodolfo said.

“It’s important that we maintain a credible and realistic threat to trigger a WTO-rules compliant suspension of concession, because that is important for us to be able to forge a comprehensive solution, for example through the facilitator-led process.”

Industry representatives from both the Philippines and Thailand during the Tariff Commission’s public hearing appealed against the potential suspension of tariff concessions, warning of regional supply chain disruptions and increased consumer prices in the Philippines. — Jenina P. Ibañez

How will the CREATE Law affect your 2020 ITR?

And so, it came to pass. The Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) Bill, though with vetoed provisions, was finally signed by the President on March 26 as Republic Act No. 11534. After years of waiting for the lowering of the corporate income tax and the rationalization of fiscal incentives, we now have the law just waiting to be published to be effective.

CREATE is peculiar because of its retroactive provisions which will affect the 2020 income tax payable of most corporations. This means that even if the law becomes effective sometime in April, it will still have an impact on 2020 corporate income tax filings. Below are some of the provisions with retroactive effect:

1.  Corporate income tax (CIT) rates of domestic corporations and resident foreign corporations

Effective July 1, 2020, corporate income tax of domestic corporations shall either be 20% or 25%. The 20% rate applies to domestic corporations with a net taxable income not exceeding P5 million AND with total assets not exceeding P100 million. In computing the total assets, the value of the land where the office, plant and equipment are situated during the taxable year is to be excluded.

All other domestic corporations are subject to the 25% corporate income tax rate.

Resident foreign corporations are subject to 25% income tax effective July 1, 2020.

2. CIT of proprietary educational institutions and hospitals

Beginning July 1, 2020 until June 30, 2023, proprietary educational institutions and hospitals which are nonprofit are subject to a tax of one percent (1%) on their taxable income.

3. CIT of nonresident foreign corporations

Nonresident corporations are subject to income tax of 25% of their gross income from the Philippines effective July 1, 2020.

4. Minimum corporate income tax (MCIT)

The MCIT for both domestic and resident foreign corporations has been decreased to 1% from July 1, 2020 until June 30, 2023.

5.  Percentage Tax

Percentage tax on persons exempt from value-added tax under Section 116 of the Tax Code has also been decreased to 1% from July 1, 2020 to June 30, 2023.

With these changes in rates effective July 1, 2020, taxpayers will have to compute their corporate income tax payable differently this year. Considering that we have had previous changes in tax rates, the Tax Code has already prescribed the rules on how to compute income tax if there has been a change in rates. The Tax Code states that taxable income will be computed without regard to the specific date when specific sales, purchases, and other transactions occur. The income and expenses for the fiscal year is deemed to have been earned and spent equally for each month of the period.

Thus, the corporate income tax will apply on the amount computed by multiplying the number of months covered by the new rate within the fiscal year by the taxable income of the corporation for the period, divided by twelve. For example, if the total taxable income is P120 million for the year, the first P60 million will be multiplied by the old rate of 30% and the remaining P60 million pays 25%, regardless of when the net taxable income was actually earned. Thus, even if all the major transactions happened in the last quarter, the income tax will still be computed following the rules listed above. Since the change in rate happened in the last half of the year, an average rate of 27.5% may be used to determine the tax payable. The actual manner of computation, however, will depend on the instructions of the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR).

While everybody is anticipating the change in the tax rates, taxpayers are still waiting for the implementing rules from the BIR to guide them in filing and paying their taxes this year. Questions like what tax returns will be used, how the excess payments like excess percentage tax is to be treated, and whether taxpayers are allowed to amend tax returns after April 15 without paying penalties are commonly asked.

Another question concerns the computation of the interest rate arbitrage. Under the current rules, the taxpayer’s otherwise allowable interest expense is to be reduced by 33% of the interest income subject to final tax. CREATE lowered this to 20% but did not provide for retroactive effect. However, since the lowering of the percentage is tied to the applicable corporate income tax and final tax on interest, taxpayers are asking if they will be allowed to use the lower rate of 20% starting July 1, 2020.

What happens if the law is not yet effective by April 15? Will taxpayers be required to compute and pay taxes under the old rate and file for amendment only after the law becomes effective? Some taxpayers are short on funds due to business reverses that happened in 2020, while some cannot afford to pay more than what is due. Refund or credit of excess taxes are not palatable choices as most companies are in dire need of cash to fund their struggling businesses.

With April 15 drawing near and the imposition of the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) in the NCR plus, taxpayers are hoping for the extension of filing and payment of the corporate income tax. We laud the BIR in announcing that the RMC allowing the “file and pay anywhere” has been signed. However, with the difficulty in mobility and access to documents which are locked in their respective offices, taxpayers are expecting delays in preparing their income tax returns. Once again, this is a time for the bayanihan spirit to be practiced both by the BIR and the taxpayers. We are all hoping for a smooth and safe filing and payment of annual income tax. Let us continue to help one another in surpassing these challenging times as we all hope that this too, shall pass.

Let’s Talk Tax is a weekly newspaper column of P&A Grant Thornton that aims to keep the public informed of various developments in taxation. This article is not intended to be a substitute for competent professional advice.

 

Eleanor Lucas Roque is a principal of the Tax Advisory & Compliance division of P&A Grant Thornton, the Philippine member firm of Grant Thornton International Ltd.

pagrantthornton@ph.gt.com

Active COVID-19 cases may reach 430,000 without strict lockdown

ACTIVE coronavirus cases in the Philippines may almost quadruple to 430,000 by the end of April if stricter quarantine measures were not imposed, according to the Department of Health (DoH).

Metro Manila and the provinces of Bulacan, Cavite and Rizal were at “critical risk” given the swift rise in infections, while Laguna is at high risk, Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario S. Vergeire told an online news briefing on Monday.

DoH reported 10,016 coronavirus infections on Monday, the highest daily tally since the pandemic started last year.

Monday’s tally surpassed the 9,838 cases reported on Friday, bringing the total to 731,894, it said in a bulletin.

The death toll rose by 16 to 13,186, while recoveries increased by 78 to 603,213, it said in a bulletin.

There were 115,495 active cases, 95.9% of which were mild, 2.4% did not show symptoms, 0.7% were critical, 0.7% were severe and 0.41% were moderate.

The agency said 14 duplicates had been removed from the tally, while 11 recovered cases were reclassified as deaths. Three laboratories failed to submit data on March 28.

Disease surveillance tool FASSSTER showed that active cases nationwide would probably reach 430,000 by the end of next month if lockdowns were not imposed, Ms. Vergeire said.

Active infections in Manila, the capital and nearby cities could hit 350,000, she added.

Healthcare use in Metro Manila was now at 63% and 58% in the Calabarzon region. Intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy was the “most worrisome,” with use ranging from 70% to full capacity for ICU beds in hospitals within the so-called National Capital Region bubble.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte placed Metro Manila and the provinces of Bulacan, Rizal, Cavite, and Laguna in a “bubble” for two weeks until April 4, allowing only essential travels inside and outside it.

He placed these areas under enhanced community quarantine, the strictest lockdown level, due to a surge in infections.

“This enhanced community quarantine aims to slow down the surge of cases, stop the spread of the variants, allow the health system to recover and of course to protect more lives,” Ms. Vergeire said.

Meanwhile, DoH said people with comorbidities must present medical certificates or prescriptions from physicians before they get vaccinated.

Ms. Vergeire said they should present  their medical certificates issued in the past 18 months or prescription in the past six months at vaccination sites. 

Presidential spokesman Herminio L. Roque, Jr. on Saturday said there would be simultaneous vaccinations of senior citizens and persons with comorbidities along with healthcare workers to speed up the vaccine rollout.

John Q. Wong, founder of health research team Epimetrics, Inc., said there are illnesses that increase a person’s risk for hospitalization or death.

These are chronic respiratory disease, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, malignancies, diabetes and obesity. These are the seven diseases that were prioritized, he said at the same briefing.

Mr. Wong said there are about 14.1 million non-elderly adult Filipinos with underlying conditions.

About 656,331 people have been vaccinated against the coronavirus as of March 27, DoH said.

About 9.5 million Filipinos have been tested for the coronavirus as of Mar. 27, according to DoH’s tracker website.

The coronavirus has sickened about 127.8 million and killed 2.8 million people worldwide, according to the Worldometers website, citing various sources including data from the World Health Organization. About 103 million people have recovered, it said. — Vann Marlo M. Villegas

DoH says one-week strict quarantine won’t stop virus spike

THE WEEKLONG strict lockdown in Manila, the capital and nearby cities and provinces is unlikely to slow coronavirus infections in the long term, according to the Health department.

The stricter restrictions would only lower cases during the week until April 4, Alethea De Guzman, director of the Department of Health’s (DoH) Epidemiology bureau, told a televised news briefing on Monday.

“It’s possible for cases to rise again once the enhanced community quarantine is lifted,” she said in Filipino.

Coronavirus infections in the Philippines more than doubled in the past two weeks, Ms. De Guzman said.

The strict lockdown would go to waste and would have little to no effect if people failed to observe health protocols, get tested early and isolate themselves after developing symptoms, and cooperate with contact tracers, she added.

Presidential spokesman Herminio L. Roque, Jr. said the government would take into account the effect of the strict quarantine on hunger and state capacity to give cash aid.

“It is very sensitive because if we will only consider the aspect of lowering COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) numbers, more people might die from hunger,” he said at the same briefing in Filipino.

Meanwhile, the government still has more than P20 billion left in its anti-pandemic funds that could be used to subsidize Filipinos affected by the weeklong lockdown in Metro Manila and nearby provinces, the Budget department said.

It still has 23 billion in unused funds under the country’s second stimulus law, Budget Secretary Wendel A. Avisado told a televised news briefing.

He said the financial aid would be enough to cover 22.9 million low-income people for two weeks.

The amount is lower than what was given under the first stimulus law, which provided households at least P5,000 to P8,000 in cash aid, Mr. Avisado said. He declined to elaborate.

“We surmise that something worse can happen after one week so based on our projection, this will tide them up until the time that the government makes adjustments in the current state of quarantine,” he said.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte or his executive secretary would be the one to disclose the details of the aid, the Budget chief said. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

Gov’t takes delivery of 1M CoronaVac doses from China

THE PHILIPPINES on Monday took delivery of about a million doses of CoronaVac it bought from Chinese drug maker Sinovac Biotech Ltd., according to the presidential palace.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte received the vaccine doses at a military airbase in the capital region.

The vaccines are on top of 25 million doses that the National Government from Sinovac, vaccine czar Carlito G. Galvez, Jr. said in a statement.

“The arrival of these vaccines is great news as we are beginning to see the fruits of our negotiation efforts after months of hard work to provide vaccines for our people,” he said.

“This is but the first of the many other doses we have negotiated in order to achieve our goal of herd immunity,” he added.

Senator Christopher Lawrence T. Go, Health Secretary Francisco T. Duque III and Chinese Ambassador to the Philippines Huang Xilian also attended Monday’s rites.

“We are expecting the delivery of around 1.5 to 4 million of the remaining procured doses from Sinovac by April and May 2021 together with the additional 979,200 AstraZeneca vaccine doses from the WHO-led COVAX facility,” Mr. Galvez said.

The vaccines would be deployed to Metro Manila, Cebu, Davao and other areas facing a spike in coronavirus infections, presidential spokesman Herminio L. Roque, Jr. told a televised news briefing on Monday. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

SC urged to speed up cases

THE BUSINESS community on Monday asked the Supreme Court (SC) to speed up cases by requiring courts to comply with deadlines in resolving these, which they said would help boost the economy.

In an e-mailed statement signed by 22 business organizations under the Financial Executives Institute of the Philippines (Finex), they said court rulings “guide businesses in their future commercial relations and transactions and profoundly affect how businesses move forward.”

The speedy resolution of legal disputes would prove that companies could rely on the Philippine judiciary to uphold the law, regulations and contracts upon which businesses are built.

They also cited a 2020 World Bank study showing that the Philippines had the second-longest period to resolve cases among 10 member countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.

The business groups urged the tribunal to strictly require all courts to adhere to the 1987 Constitution, which says court cases must be resolved within a year, unless shortened by the high court to a year for lower collegiate courts and to three months for other lower courts.

“In these uncertain times brought about by the ongoing pandemic, it is crucial that we strengthen our economy’s backbone by ensuring continuity and certainty in our commercial affairs,” they said. — Bianca Angelica D. Añago