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How the world's most gender-equal economy is fixing their wage gap

It’s been six months since Iceland made it impossible for businesses to keep paying women less than men for the same job, and Gudridur Gudmundsdottir is already a little richer for it.
A part-time chef at Iceland’s National Land Survey, the 58-year-old grandmother got a 4.5 percent wage increase, equal to $80 a month, after her bosses found she was underpaid relative to a group of colleagues.
“They moved me up two wage brackets,” Gudmundsdottir said after serving lunch at the agency’s offices in Akranes, about an hour’s drive north of the capital Reykjavik. “Women need to work up the courage to ask for something, so it’s good to have legislation backing us up.”
Iceland has long blazed the trail in gender equality, bringing the world its first democratically elected female president and first openly lesbian prime minister. Now the island in the north Atlantic is taking on the pay gap like no where else on Earth, requiring companies with 25 employees or more to prove they don’t discriminate on gender, sexuality or ethnicity lines—or face fines of 50,000 kronur ($470) a day.
Iceland’s previous cabinet of seven men and four women passed the bill last year just as workplace sexism was thrust into the global spotlight by the #MeToo movement. Worldwide, at least 417 high-profile men have been outed for sexually harassing female colleagues, according to one study.
Other countries are already studying Iceland’s new pay-parity rules to see if they can replicate them, including Nordic nations, Germany, Switzerland and governments as far away as South Korea and Panama, according to the International Labour Organization.
Man’s world
Yet even in Iceland, ranked first on the World Economic Forum’s Gender Gap Index for nine years, it’s largely a man’s world.
It’s been illegal to pay women less than men for decades, but Icelandic men still earn 10-12 percent more than women for similar work, according to findings of BSI Iceland, the main consultancy policing the equal pay law. BSI performed audits on 100 companies that voluntarily tackled their pay gaps in the past six years.
Closing the gap
“In most cases the discrimination is unconscious,” said BSI general manager, Arni Kristinsson, who explained part of the issue is men tend to oversell their skills in interviews while women are more modest. The new law puts the onus on employers to ensure this doesn’t happen.
After taking office in 2017, Prime Minister Katrin Jakobsdottir, a 42-year-old mother of three young boys, vowed to eradicate the gap by 2022. Iceland’s largest businesses with 250+ employees need to comply by year-end. Others have until 2020.
It will cost companies about $20,000 for the certification and thousands more in consultancy fees. Companies must prove to an external auditor any wage difference between roles of equal value is justified, otherwise discrimination is assumed. Employees are measured against colleagues on the skills and knowledge needed for the job, the working conditions, the responsibilities and physical and mental effort required.
Several businesses interviewed by Bloomberg were rushing to tweak job descriptions to explain discrepancies. But some excuses—like paying someone more for speaking multiple languages when they don’t use the skill at work—won’t cut it.
While other European nations are taking steps to boost transparency too (in Sweden anyone can call up the tax authority to find out how much their colleague or neighbor earns), the difference in Iceland’s case is enforcement. Its law is also bound to benefit foreigners and men on the shyer side who’ve been undercut on pay.
Paid less
“Very often you have beautiful laws, but then problems arise because the implementation mechanism is left open,” said Manuela Tomei, the head of ILO’s Department on Conditions of Work and Equality.
Calling the process “complicated” and “expensive,” VSV, one of Iceland’s biggest Atlantic fisheries, has hired Deloitte LLP to help with compliance, according to head of human resources Lilja Bjorg Arngrimsdottir. A majority of its 350 employees are male. The local branch of Ikea, which almost eliminated its pay gap a few years ago, said gender-parity policies give it a leg up in recruiting staff.
Best place for women
Iceland’s push for gender equality took off after 1975, when women went on strike, including from all housework and childcare, on Oct. 24, paralyzing the country. On the same day in 2016, thousands of women walked out of their offices at precisely 2:38 p.m., the cutoff time when women stop getting paid relative to men.
It’s still better to be a woman in the nation of 350,000 than most places. Women must occupy 40 percent of company board seats by law, new dads get three months of leave and, at 89 percent, it has one of the highest ratios of females to males in the workforce.
“The gender gap won’t close by itself,” said Rosa Gudrun Erlingsdottir, the civil servant tasked with the equal-pay legislation.
Hiring troubles
Given its small size, Iceland is a great place to see how the tougher legislation will play out, and what the unintended consequences might be.
Centerhotels ehf, which runs three- and four-star hotels, pointed out at least one: it’s getting harder to recruit chefs during a tourism boom because it can’t pay more without adjusting everyone’s wage. More than two million tourists visited Iceland last year, many attracted by the frozen landscapes and volcanoes featured in Game of Thrones.
“This law gives you less leeway to react to market circumstances,” said Centerhotel’s human resources manager, Eir Arnbjarnardottir.
While enjoying the extra cash, Gudmundsdottir, the Land Survey cook whose pay was raised after it was compared with receptionists, is still more skeptical than most about the fate of the gender pay gap.
“We have been trying this so long, for the last century or even longer,” she said. “The gender wage gap will always exist.” — Nick Rigillo and Ragnhildur Sigurdardottir, Bloomberg

Here's how the US-China trade war could get ugly: Bloomberg

The first shot of the U.S.-China trade war went off without much of a reaction from investors. The calm may be short lived.
For months, financial markets have been bracing for President Donald Trump to follow through with threats of tariffs against China. So it came as little surprise when the U.S. implemented duties on $34 billion in Chinese imports on Friday, as planned, and Beijing retaliated proportionately.
Now comes the hard part for forecasters.
No Spillovers
Economists feel they have a good handle on the direct impact of higher duties. Tariffs raise the price of imported goods, in turn inflating costs for businesses. Those companies can fully absorb the increased cost, or pass some or all of it onto consumers. The bottom line: someone pays, prices rise, demand is hurt.
The Trump administration is currently reviewing another round of tariffs on $16 billion in Chinese goods. If the U.S. stops at duties on $50 billion in imports, and China does likewise, the hit to both countries’ economies will be modest, Bloomberg Economics projects.
Call that the neat-and-tidy trade war: both countries come to their senses, and financial markets bend but don’t break.
Spillovers Galore
However, Trump said last week that he may expand tariffs to more than $500 billion in Chinese goods, to basically cover all imports from the Asian nation into the U.S.
Economists say they can’t fully measure the indirect impact that could occur as the trade war escalates. A decline in U.S. financial markets could be one such element. Factor in a significant slump in equities prices, with the knock-on effect of falling wealth, and the likely hit to U.S. growth widens to 0.4 percentage point, according to Bloomberg Economics.
Chinese stocks and the currency have already taken a beating as concerns about the onset of the trade war gathered. The Shanghai Composite Index is in its longest losing streak in six years, and the yuan posted its worst quarter since 1994 last month. Policy makers have been out in force trying to shore up sentiment.
Diverging Picture
Business and consumer confidence is another “X factor.” Business contacts in some U.S. districts monitored by the Federal Reserve indicated they’d scaled back or postponed capital spending because of uncertainty over trade, according to minutes of the June meeting of the Fed’s rate-setting committee.
“The risk is you start to see more businesses reacting negatively by constraining their investment,” said Gregory Daco, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. “You’re starting to see some anecdotal evidence of businesses putting their capital expenditure plans on hold.”
In a severe scenario, declining business investment and lower consumer spending would decrease demand, which might prompt other countries to lash out with more trade barriers, creating a vicious cycle of mounting protectionism and slowing growth.
It’s difficult to measure how the “second-order” effects of a trade war would hurt the global economy, said Atsi Sheth, a managing director at Moody’s Investors Service.
“We haven’t had a real trade war at this scale in a long time,” Sheth said. “The last 50 years have been about more integration. So we don’t have very good episodes to choose from in the past that would inform us.”
Breakdown of Relations
Then there’s the unpredictability of the politics.
For now, China has avoided upping the ante. “Our view is that trade war is never a solution,” Premier Li Keqiang told reporters during a visit to Bulgaria on Friday, after the first round of tit-for-tat duties. “It benefits no one.”
“The reaction from Beijing has been restrained,” said Gene Ma, chief China economist at the Institute of International Finance. “Internally, they have a policy to contain this issue. They’ve decided this should be dealt with as a trade issue, not a geopolitical issue.”
That could change, especially if Trump continues to accuse China of trading unfairly and stealing American intellectual property. U.S.-China relations have arguably slumped to their lowest point in years, despite praise by Trump for President Xi Jinping and a prediction that the pair would “make great progress together!”
If Trump doesn’t relent, Beijing may lash out with other measures, such as swamping U.S. firms operating there with red tape, or using a weaker yuan as a weapon.
The longer the spat drags on, the harder it will be to unwind, said Bill Reinsch, senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. While the short-term damage of the tariff back-and-forth isn’t too painful, the cumulative impact is significant, he said, adding that he foresees a long-term dispute, not a quick resolution.
Trump “only has one strategy, which is to hit harder,” Reinsch said. “It’s like two 8-year-olds having a staring contest. He’s betting that the Chinese will blink.” — Andrew Mayeda and Jenny Leonard, Bloomberg

Asian markets rise again after strong US jobs data

Asian markets rallied on Monday, extending their gains at the end of last week, following another strong US jobs report that reinforced confidence in the US economy and helped settle trade war nerves.
While Friday’s tit-for-tat tariffs on billions of dollars of goods by the world’s top two economies were seen as damaging, analysts said the the impact would be limited.
Global markets had been tumbling ahead of the imposition of the tariffs but bounced on Friday.
The upbeat sentiment carried over into the new week after data showed the US economy created more than 200,000 jobs in June, beating expectations.
That was compounded by the fact that average hourly earnings growth remained sluggish, while the unemployment rate edged up, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to lift interest rates.
The result helped all three main indexes on Wall Street to end on a high.
And in Asia on Monday Tokyo went into the break 1.3 percent higher, while Hong Kong and Shanghai were each 1.4 percent up in the morning.
Sydney rose 0.2 percent, Singapore climbed 0.9 percent, Seoul added 0.5 percent and Taipei was more than one percent higher.
However, concerns remain that the trade row between China and the US could intensify, with Donald Trump threatening hundreds of billions of dollars more in Chinese goods.
Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trading at OANDA, said that “should the (Trump) administration follow through with the threat of a $200 billion-plus duties on Chinese goods, this would have some negative implication for both the US and global growth prospects.”
Sterling rises
Eyes are now on the release of Chinese trade data later this week.
On currency markets the Chinese yuan edged up against the dollar, having tumbled in recent weeks on the trade spat.
While there had been speculation among some observers that Beijing would allow the unit to weaken in order to offset the impact of a trade war, authorities stressed they would not weaponise it.
The pound managed to eke out some gains despite Westminster upheaval after Prime Minister Theresa May’s point man on Brexit negotiations resigned over the government’s plan to retain strong economic ties with the EU even after leaving.
“The general direction of policy will leave us in at best a weak negotiating position, and possibly an inescapable one,” David Davis said in a letter to May.
His resignation — along with one of his deputies — comes two days after the cabinet approved the plan in a bid to unblock negotiations with Brussels.
Investors are now preparing for the start of the corporate earnings season, which analysts said should provide some distraction from the trade row.
Key figures around 0300 GMT
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.3 percent at 22,063.74 (break)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 1.4 percent at 28,720.17
Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.4 percent at 2786.14
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1752 from $1.1744 at 2030 GMT Friday
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3300 from $1.3281
Dollar/yen: UP at 110.46 yen from 110.43 yen
Oil – West Texas Intermediate: UP eight cents at $73.88 per barrel
Oil – Brent Crude: UP 14 cents at $77.25 per barrel
New York – Dow: UP 0.4 percent at 24,456.48 (close)
London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 7,617.70 (close)
— AFP

Shares in China's Xiaomi fall on Hong Kong debut

Shares of Chinese smartphone giant Xiaomi fell almost 6 percent in its trading debut in Hong Kong Monday, a long-awaited IPO overshadowed by the start of a US-China trade war and bearish investor sentiment.
Shares opened at HK$16.60 ($2.12) in Hong Kong — down from their IPO price of HK$17.00 — and dived 3.8 percent in morning trading, falling as much as 5.9 percent to HK$16 at one point.
Investors felt a lack of confidence even before public trading started, selling their shares at a discount on the unofficial “grey market” last week, Bloomberg News reported.
Despite being one of the most anticipated Chinese technology IPOs this year, Xiaomi saw a disappointing valuation of US$54 billion, well below its ambitious US$100 billion target.
Founded in 2010 by entrepreneur Lei Jun, Xiaomi has grown from a start-up in Zhongguancun — China’s “Silicon Valley” — to become the world’s fourth-biggest smartphone vendor at the end of last year, according to International Data Corp.
Lei has described Xiaomi as a “new species” of company with what he describes as a “triathlon” business model combining hardware, internet and e-commerce services. Its products range from smart home gadgets like air purifiers to non-tech items such as pillows and ballpoint pens.
A delay in Xiaomi’s plan to launch new so-called Chinese Depository Receipts (CDRs) in Shanghai as well as doubts about the sustainability of its business model were also among reasons for the lower valuation, analysts said.
Chinese authorities devised the CDR programme, under which homegrown companies listed abroad can simultaneously list at home, after watching technology heavyweights Alibaba and Baidu launch on Wall Street.
The plan aims to help development of China’s still relatively immature and volatile share markets and allow domestic investors to invest in the country’s big tech champions.
Beijing-based Xiaomi is the first firm in Hong Kong to trade with a controversial dual-class structure since listing rules were overhauled to allow weighted voting rights for different sets of shareholders.
Analysts say Hong Kong’s technology listings have struggled in recent months, deflating investor interest.
“Nothing can help because the sentiment is no good at the moment… Most of the IPOs listed this year were not that profitable,” said Dickie Wong of Kingston Securities, adding he does not see any “upsides” until the CDR listing which would boost interest. — AFP

The seven key points of Britain's post-Brexit trade plan

The Brexit compromise deal thrashed out by Theresa May’s cabinet over Britain’s contentious exit from the EU has been dealt a blow by the resignation of David Davis, the minister in charge of the process.
Here are the key points of the plan agreed Friday between warring factions within the cabinet, long divided between those seeking a clean break with the EU and others wanting to maintain a closer relationship with the bloc.
The proposal says it would avoid checks on the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland and protect manufacturing supply lines, while fulfilling domestic promises to end the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice (ECJ), control migration and allow Britain to establish its own trade policy.
Common rulebook for goods
Britain and the EU would maintain a “common rulebook for goods including agri-food”, with London agreeing in a treaty to “ongoing harmonisation” only with those EU rules necessary to reduce friction at the border.
It says the plan would smooth trade in agricultural, food and fisheries products, and protect integrated supply chains and just-in-time processes that are vital to, for example, the automotive industry.
Britain would expect to play a “strong role” in shaping the international standards which underpin these rules.
The British parliament would also reserve the right to reject any new rules, while recognising the “consequences for market access, security cooperation or the frictionless border”.
Britain would leave the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy and Common Fisheries Policy.
Flexibility for services
Britain would retain regulatory flexibility for its dominant services sector, “where the potential trading opportunities outside the EU are the largest”, in return for restricted access to EU markets.
It accepts the end to current “passporting” rights allowing British financial firms to operate freely in the EU, but suggests arrangements “that preserve the mutual benefits of integrated markets and protect financial stability”.
Standards and competition
Britain would legally commit to a common rulebook on state aid rules, and establish “cooperative arrangements between regulators” on competition.
Both sides would agree to maintain high regulatory standards for the environment, climate change, social and employment and consumer protection.
European Court
The EU and Britain would establish a “joint institutional framework” to ensure the consistent interpretation of legal agreements between them.
In Britain this could be done by British courts, “with due regard to EU case law” in the relevant areas, but the ECJ would no longer have jurisdiction.
Both sides would need to agree a means of resolving disputes, including through binding independent arbitration.
Customs arrangements and free trade
Britain proposes that it would “apply the UK’s tariffs and trade policy for goods intended for the UK, and the EU’s tariffs and trade policy for goods intended for the EU”.
This arrangement, which would have to be phased in, would eliminate the need for customs checks and controls between Britain and the EU, “as if a combined customs territory”.
This would give Britain the right to control its own tariffs and strike trade deals with non-EU nations — including “potentially” joining the 11-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership, the document said.
Free movement of people
Britain would end free movement of people from the EU, but proposes British and EU citizens continue to travel and apply for study and work in each other’s territories.
No deal option
The government restated that it is in interests of both sides to reach an agreement.
But “given the short period remaining before the necessary conclusion of negotiations this autumn, we agreed preparations should be stepped up” for a range of potential outcomes, including that no deal is reached. — AFP

Tokyo stocks open higher with yen stable against dollar

Tokyo stocks opened higher on Monday, extending rallies in New York with the cheaper yen also supporting the market.
The benchmark Nikkei 225 index edged up 0.23 percent, or 51.08 points, to 21,839.22 in early trade while the broader Topix was up 0.34 percent, or 5.75 points, at 1,697.29.
“After gaining in early trade, the Tokyo market today could lose a sense of direction” as positivity generated by rallies last week in New York was likely to be offset by lingering worries over US-China trade frictions, SBI Securities said in a commentary.”
The dollar was changing hands at 110.51 yen in early trade, slightly higher than 110.46 yen in New York late Friday.
In Tokyo, telecom giant SoftBank was 1.44 percent higher at 8,412 yen, Nintendo was up 2.16 percent at 35,470 and electronics parts maker Murata Manufacturing was 3.60 percent higher at 19,665 yen.
Wall Street stocks notched strong gains Friday on solid US employment data, with the Dow finishing up 0.4 percent at 24,456.48. — AFP

'Hard' Brexit could see Philips quit British factory: CEO

Dutch electronics giant Philips warned Sunday it may shift production out of Britain in the event of a “hard” Brexit, saying it was “deeply concerned about competitiveness” of its operations there.
The Amsterdam-based group employs some 1,500 people in Britain, most notably at its baby care products-for-export factory at Glemsford in Suffolk.
“I am deeply concerned about the competitiveness of our operations in the UK, especially our manufacturing operations,” Philips chief executive Frans van Houten said.
“We estimate that the cost of the (Philips’) exported products will increase substantially under any scenario that is not maintaining the single customs union,” he said in a statement emailed to AFP.
Any changes in current free trade agreements, the single customs union and current EU product certifications “is a serious threat to the competitiveness of this factory,” Van Houten added, saying “we need to do worst case scenario planning.”
Philips is the latest company in a chorus of major industrial players — which also includes Jaguar Land Rover, BMW and Airbus — to warn about the negative impact of an acrimonious split between the UK and EU.
“At the moment we are considering all scenarios, including one in which there is a so-called ‘hard Brexit’,” Philips spokesman Steve Klink told AFP.
“In that case, it could include the departure of our manufacturing for export,” said Klink.
Van Houten however emphasised: “Philips remains absolutely committed to its current and prospective future customers in the country” including hospitals.
British Prime Minister Theresa May on Friday persuaded her eurosceptic ministers to back a plan for closer trade ties with the EU after Brexit.
After marathon talks at her country retreat, May’s divided cabinet agreed on a new “free trade area” where Britain would accept EU rules for goods.
But the British premier still has to sell the plan to Brussels, which could keep Britain tied to the bloc for years after Brexit, even if officials stress parliament would reserve the right to diverge.
May expressed hope the deal would end two years of public splits that sparked exasperation among European leaders and businesses seeking a clear path.
“We are faced with the continued unclarity and uncertainty of Brexit,” said Van Houten on Sunday.
“Europe is at risk of falling behind the US and China, as they move ahead focused on strengthening their geo-economic leadership,” he said. — AFP

Cebu Landmasters, Inc. reservation sales jump 61%

Reservation sales of Cebu Landmasters, Inc. (CLI) jumped by 61% in the first half of 2018, keeping the company on track to hitting its full-year targets.
In a statement issued Monday, the Cebu-based property developer said reservation sales—revenue generated from accommodations booking—reached P4.6 billion between January and June, putting the company at 65% of its P7-billion target for the year. This is also higher than the P4.58 billion it recorded over the same period in 2017.
The listed firm attributed the record performance to the strong demand for its projects, specifically the economic housing development in Cebu called Casa Mira South that accounted for 11.2% of its total reservation sales for the first half.
CLI engages in real estate development, sales and leasing, catering to high-end, mid-market, economic, and socialized housing segments. As of this year, the company has 13 completed developments, and two wholly-owned subsidiaries, CLI Premier Hotels International, Inc. and Cebu Landmasters Property Management, Inc. — Arra B. Francia

Second-round price pressures emerging

LAST WEEK’s increase in jeepney fares has added to inflation pressures, which state economic managers have expected to peak this quarter.
The Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board on July 4 approved a P1 provisional fare hike for public utility jeepneys in Metro Manila, Central Luzon and the Cavite-Laguna-Batangas-Rizal-Quezon region.
Emmanuel A. Leyco, economics professor at the Asian Institute of Management, said the fare hike will have a domino effect on prices of other commodities.
“The P1 fare hike should be viewed only as part of an evolving story… Naturally, workers can be reasonably expected to demand a higher wage to deal with a higher transportation fare and more expensive food prices,” Mr. Leyco said when sought for comment.
Both economic managers and private economists have been watching out for “second-round” price pressures from public transport fare hikes and minimum wage increases in the regions that could drive headline inflation further beyond the central bank’s 2-4% target for 2018.
Labor Secretary Silvestre H. Bello told reporters on July 1 that eight of the country’s 17 regions had recommended a hike in the daily minimum wage rates of private sector workers at that time, citing Central Luzon and Zamboanga Peninsula among them, while the regional wage boards of Western and of Central Visayas had separately announced their decisions to increase such pay.
Headline inflation saw the sixth straight month of increase to a fresh five-year-high 5.2% in June, which also marked the fourth consecutive month that the pace has pierced the central bank’s 2-4% full-year target range for 2018. June inflation fueled the year-to-date pace to 4.3%, which is just below the central bank’s downgraded 4.5% forecast for 2018.
“With unaddressed supply-side bottlenecks, six percent may not be impossible,” said Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion, chief economist at Union Bank of the Philippines.
“The June inflation print, in my view, is largely due to structural bottlenecks, particularly on food items (rice, vegetables, etc). Aside from these, the economy’s vulnerability to global oil price volatility is another concern.”
Transport prices rose even faster at 7.1% year-on-year compared to the headline figure, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority.
Mr. Asuncion, however, said that these price developments are out of the control of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).
“I am a bit wary if further monetary policy tweaks will actually help rein in price levels,” the bank economist added.
“I am sure the economic managers are aware of these bottlenecks, and I understand that they see the need to have sound economic policies (not just monetary nor fiscal policies) in place to attain economic efficiency and steady economic growth.”
While the BSP will be “hard-pressed to intervene” by tweaking interest rates, Mr. Asuncion warned that such moves may be “distractive” as far as overall economic growth is concerned.
BSP Governor Nestor A. Espenilla, Jr. described June’s fresh peak as a “setback” for policy makers, saying the central bank will update forecasts and calibrate the “strength and timing” of its next move to rein in inflation expectations.
The central bank has acknowledged that inflation will pick up further to peak between this month and September, as it noted that uncertainties in the global oil market and unfavorable weather conditions continue to affect the prices of basic goods.
Reuters has reported that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC crude producers agreed earlier this month on a slight output hike to dampen the oil price rally, which has hit a three-and-a-half year high. The supply hike reversed some of the cuts that OPEC and the other major producers put in place in early 2017 to end years of supply glut.
Several observers are noting that another policy interest rate hike may be on the table for the BSP at its Aug. 9 meeting which, if realized, will mark three consecutive tightening moves this year. Others have been pointing out that the BSP has been behind the curve as it kept interest rates low for far too long.
Other analysts have cautioned that inflation has been supply-driven — amid rising world crude rates and a shortage of rice supply — and had little to do with monetary policy.
In a joint statement issued on Thursday, economic managers acknowledged the need to tighten the watch against profiteering, implement the Pantawid Pasada fuel subsidy program for public utility vehicles, and for Congress to approve a bill that will shift to a regular tariff scheme for rice from the current import quota scheme that is expected to slash prices of the staple.
The central bank has conceded to missing its 2-4% inflation target this year, but is working to bring price increases back within range in 2019. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

Big banks hard-pressed to comply with new liquidity rule — BMI

BIG BANKS will have to boost deposit taking and may cut back on long-term loans to comply with a new liquidity measure imposed by the central bank, analysts at BMI Research said.
In a report released over the weekend, the Fitch unit said the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) which took effect this month would put some pressure on funding costs incurred by lenders.
The NSFR requires universal and commercial banks to hold enough “reliable” sources of funding to cover their “expected and unexpected cash flows and collateral needs” during day-to-day operations projected over a one-year period.
“In general, we believe that banks will likely be forced to cut back on short-term wholesale funding and raise deposit rates to attract more retail deposits, which could see funding costs increase over the coming quarter,” BMI said in its report.
The research firm said the new requirement is “positive for financial stability over the long-run,” but banks are likely to bear bigger costs as they make the transition in securing more permanent, reliable funding.
“The rationale is to limit structural maturity mismatches and to reform the asset and liability structures of banks to make them less prone to cyclical factors,” BMI said.
“Nevertheless, we expect Philippines banks to feel some pinch in the short term in the form of higher transition and funding costs as they adjust their balance sheets in order to comply with the new standard.”
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has set July-December as the observation period to facilitate smooth transition and “allow prompt assessment and calibration” of the new prudential tool.
Banks that fall short of the standard must come up with funding plans or remedies to boost their pool of liquid assets.
By Jan. 1 next year banks unable to meet full coverage will face sanctions from the BSP.
Test runs conducted by the regulator showed that big banks are generally able to comply with the new rule, BSP Governor Nestor A. Espenilla, Jr. previously said.
BMI said banks will likely issue debt papers beyond a one-year maturity in order to meet the NSFR, which in turn could push market yields up.
Banks could also turn away from long-term loans which would require them to hold more buffers for an extended period.
“This may see banks cut back on long-term lending, undermining banks’ traditional role in liquidity and maturity transformation in the economy,” the research outfit said.
“This poses downside risks to economic growth in the Philippines given that the country has an underdeveloped capital markets and businesses rely more on banks for long-term financing.”
The NSFR augments the Liquidity Coverage Ratio, which requires big banks to hold high-quality, easily convertible assets to cover projected net cash outflows over a 30-day period. These form part of the tighter regulatory standards under the Basel 3 regime which seek to improve risk management and prevent a repeat of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.
Moody’s Investors Service has said that the new tool will be “credit positive” for banks, as it will ensure resilience despite periods of financial stress. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

Business booms for plastic giants as change beckons

PARIS — It’s the worst enemy of environmental campaigners, but people around the world use mountains of plastic every day and business is booming for manufacturers.
Much to the chagrin of activists, an increasingly restrictive regulatory environment appears to have put little dent in the industry’s power so far.
That is changing, however, and plastic giants are starting to adapt.
From 2006 to 2016, global plastic output rose from 245 million to 348 million tons, according to the PlasticsEurope trade association. Production rose by 3.9% in 2017. In 2016 the growth rate stood at 4.0%, and in 2015 at 3.5%.
Demand for thermoplastics alone — which includes the most common kinds of plastic, such as PET used in water bottles, polypropylene, polyethylene and PVC — has soared by 4.7% yearly from 1990 to 2017.
“Is this going to continue in the coming years? We can assume it will,” said Herve Millet, technical and regulatory affairs manager at PlasticsEurope.
“The reasons why plastic (production is) growing worldwide are not just going to go away all at once.”
The growth of the plastics industry goes hand-in-hand with economic development, Mr. Millet said.
The more an economy grows, the more plastic is used in construction, infrastructural development, electrical and electronic industries, and transport.
Single-use plastic packaging — the nemesis of environmental activists — is also in strong demand in developing countries.
Even in Europe, where anti-plastics campaigning has been especially vigorous, packaging accounts for 40% of consumption.
But the world’s leading producer of plastic is China. Today it holds a whopping 29% of the market share, up from 15% just a decade ago.
European, US and Japanese plastic manufacturers have meanwhile seen their market share shrink.
Where Western producers are doing especially well is in the development of so-called specialty plastics used in the construction, automobile, medical and other industries.
New polymers are also being used in the aviation and space industry, as well as in the creation of specialty athletic footwear.
Pierre Gadrat, who heads the chemicals and materials division of France-based consulting firm Alcimed, said this sector “is just as dynamic, if not more, than before”.
The growth of the plastic industry defies concerted efforts from activists around the world, as well as an increasingly hostile regulatory environment.
Under pressure from campaigners, the European Union, Britain, India and even fast food giants like McDonald’s have all made some headway towards bringing the use of disposable plastic straws to an end.
Plastic bags are also being phased out in countries around the world, while France is set to introduce a ban on plastic plates, cups and cutlery in 2020.
Emmanuel Guichard of French plastic packaging federation Elipso said the drive to end the use of single-use plastic “does not weigh massively on growth in the sector”.
However, “with all these regulatory measures coming into force, we can’t imagine that they won’t have an impact at some stage”, he added.
As public awareness grows about the terrible harm plastic pollution causes to the world’s oceans and seas, manufacturing giants are starting to worry about their image.
“Plastic as a whole is becoming stigmatized,” Mr. Millet of PlasticsEurope said.
In a bid to keep their names clean, plastic industry leaders are recycling more, following the lead of product manufacturers.
“Under regulatory pressure, plastic waste could potentially become… less seen as waste and more as a valuable raw material,” Mr. Gadrat said.
Producers of other raw materials such as metals, glass and cardboard have already fully integrated waste into their production cycles.
“This is the future of plastic: a scenario where the industry manages its raw materials and its recycled resources,” said Paris-based waste management company Citeo’s chief scientist Carlos de Los Llanos.
“It will probably take a few years,” he said, adding: “It takes learning how to do it.” — AFP

SMC Global Power to raise P15B from bond offer

SMC Global Power Holdings Corp. intends to raise P15 billion from the issuance of fixed rate bonds to refinance debt.
In a statement over the weekend, Philippine Rating Services Corp. (PhilRatings) said it assigned SMC Global Power a PRS Aaa rating for its proposed bond offering, which represents the last tranche of its three-year shelf registration of up to P35 billion.
PRS Aaa is the highest credit rating under the local debt watcher’s long-term issue credit rating scale. This indicates that SMC Global Power has an “extremely strong” capacity to meet its financial obligations.
The proposed bonds were also given a stable outlook, which means that the rating is unlikely to change in the next 12 months.
The power generation arm of diversified conglomerate San Miguel Corp. (SMC) has so far issued P20 billion worth of bonds from its shelf registration program, with P15 billion issued in July 2016 and P20 billion last December. Both outstanding issuances retained their PRS Aaa rating.
In coming up with the ratings, PhilRatings took into account SMC Global Power’s market position, support from SMC, stable earnings and cash flows, as well as its capacity to expand.
“SMC Global Power benefits from the extensive network, keen understanding of the Philippine economy and management expertise of SMC. Furthermore, SMC provides management and support services to SMC Global Power, in areas such as human resources, corporate affairs, legal, finance, treasury and other functions,” the debt watcher said.
SMC Global Power currently has a combined capacity of 4,153 megawatts (MW), sourced from a diversified mix of fuel supply including natural gas, coal, and hydropower. Its existing portfolio includes the 218-MW Angat Hydroelectric Power Plant, the 450-MW greenfield power plant in Limay, Bataan, the 300-MW greenfield power plant in Malita, Davao, and the 640-MW Masinloc power plant in Zambales.
It also acts as the Independent Power Producer Administrator (IPPA) for the Sual, Ilijan, and San Roque power plants.
The company’s combined capacity comprises 19% of the power supply in the National Grid, 25% of the Luzon grid, and 9% of the Mindanao grid.
“SMC Global Power is well-positioned to take advantage of the robust electricity demand outlook, in line with the country’s continuing economic growth. SMC Global Power’s existing capacity is still below the power market share limitations set by the Energy Regulatory Commission, giving the company enough room for portfolio expansion,” according to PhilRatings.
The debt watcher also noted it will be monitoring the legal dispute between SMC Global Power’s subsidiary, South Premier Power Corp. and the Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management Corp. on the Ilijan IPPA agreement. The two parties have differing interpretations on certain provisions on generation payments from the facility.
The case is now pending with the Court of Appeals.
“Amidst the ongoing dispute, SPPC continues to be the IPPA of the Ilijan power plant. PhilRatings shall continue to monitor developments in relation to this case and its subsequent resolution,” it said. — Arra B. Francia